Estimating the impact of COVID-19 on the Spanish economy with input-output analysis

Autor: Eladio Febrero Paños, Fernando Bermejo Patón
Jazyk: English<br />Spanish; Castilian<br />Galician<br />Portuguese
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: Revista Galega de Economía, Vol 30, Iss 1 (2021)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1132-2799
2255-5951
DOI: 10.15304/rge.30.1.7105
Popis: In this paper we present a forecast of the impact of measures to stem Covid-19 on the Spanish economy at a highly disaggregate level, using input-output techniques. Our estimations cover the period 2020-2021, and we consider two scenarios depending on the possibility of a second wave of massive infections in the autumn of 2020. In 2020, the lockdown of the population and the shutdown of a large part of the production system for several weeks are a supply-side shock that will be followed by a demand-side shock whose impact is expected to be even larger. In 2021 there will be some recovery, although we believe that it will not be sufficient for offsetting the initial negative shock. al negative shock.
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