Discrete epidemic models with two time scales

Autor: Rafael Bravo de la Parra, Luis Sanz-Lorenzo
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: Advances in Difference Equations, Vol 2021, Iss 1, Pp 1-24 (2021)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1687-1847
DOI: 10.1186/s13662-021-03633-0
Popis: Abstract The main aim of the work is to present a general class of two time scales discrete-time epidemic models. In the proposed framework the disease dynamics is considered to act on a slower time scale than a second different process that could represent movements between spatial locations, changes of individual activities or behaviors, or others. To include a sufficiently general disease model, we first build up from first principles a discrete-time susceptible–exposed–infectious–recovered–susceptible (SEIRS) model and characterize the eradication or endemicity of the disease with the help of its basic reproduction number R 0 $\mathcal{R}_{0}$ . Then, we propose a general full model that includes sequentially the two processes at different time scales and proceed to its analysis through a reduced model. The basic reproduction number R ‾ 0 $\overline{\mathcal{R}}_{0}$ of the reduced system gives a good approximation of R 0 $\mathcal{R}_{0}$ of the full model since it serves at analyzing its asymptotic behavior. As an illustration of the proposed general framework, it is shown that there exist conditions under which a locally endemic disease, considering isolated patches in a metapopulation, can be eradicated globally by establishing the appropriate movements between patches.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals