| Autor: |
Hang Zhang, Guanpeng Dong, Bing Li, Zunyi Xie, Changhong Miao, Fan Yang, Yang Gao, Xiaoyu Meng, Dongyang Yang, Yong Liu, Hongjuan Zhang, Leying Wu, Fanglin Shi, Yulong Chen, Wenjie Wu, Edyta Laszkiewicz, Yutian Liang, Binbin Lu, Jing Yao, Xuecao Li |
| Jazyk: |
angličtina |
| Rok vydání: |
2024 |
| Předmět: |
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| Zdroj: |
International Journal of Applied Earth Observations and Geoinformation, Vol 133, Iss , Pp 104086- (2024) |
| Druh dokumentu: |
article |
| ISSN: |
1569-8432 |
| DOI: |
10.1016/j.jag.2024.104086 |
| Popis: |
The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita is one of the most widely used socioeconomic indicators, serving as an integral component for climate change impact analysis. However, a national scale assessment may induce considerable bias because it conceals any internal variations within a country. The lack of a long-term sub-national scale GDP data is a substantive hinderance. Leveraging the close relationship between nighttime lights and GDP, we address this gap by developing a novel methodological framework in two steps. First, under the modeling philosophy of spatial statistics, we developed a novel approach based on deep and machine learning techniques to establish a complex mapping between two inconsistent nighttime lights (NTL) datasets: the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program’s Operational Linescan System (DMSP) and the National Polar-Orbiting Partnership’s Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS). The models achieve accuracies ranging from 0.945 to 0.980 (correlation coefficients). By taking the estimations ensemble of the two techniques, the time series of DMSP data was extended to 2021. Next, a novel modeling strategy based on multi-layer perceptron was developed to derive the non-linear relationship between NTL and GDP per capita at sub-national scale to alleviate scale effects at this granularity, while explicitly capturing regional heterogeneity effect. The trained models achieve average accuracies of 0.967, 0.959, and 0.959 on the training, validation, and test sets, respectively. We evaluate the developed dataset at the global, national, and sub-national scales from various perspective, and the results offer solid evidence on the reliability of the estimated economic data. By linking to historical global climate change data, we quantify global economic losses attributed to extreme heat to demonstrate how the estimated GDP data can be useful in the climate change impact analysis. |
| Databáze: |
Directory of Open Access Journals |
| Externí odkaz: |
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