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This study estimates the effect of climate change on water resource efficiency and crop/agronomic productivity at the Almyros basin in Greece. Groundwater resources are intensively used for irrigation, whereas their quantity and quality are highly downgraded. Climate change impacts have been assessed using Med-CORDEX bias-corrected climatic projections for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Simulation of coastal water resources was carried out with an Integrated Modelling System (IMS) consisting of the modules of surface hydrology (UTHBAL), reservoir operation (UTHRL), groundwater hydrology (MODFLOW), nitrate leaching/crop growth (REPIC), nitrate pollution (MT3DMS), and salt wedge/salinization (SEAWAT). The indices of Standardized Chloride Hazard (SCHI), Crop Water (CWP) and Economic Water Productivity (EWP), Nitrogen Use Efficiency (NUE) have been employed to analyze water resource management and agronomic scenarios. The findings indicate the water resources’ capacity for adaptability and agronomic effectiveness under the influence of salinization and climate change. |
