Infection fronts in randomly varying transmission-rate media

Autor: Zagarra, Renzo, Laneri, Karina, Kolton, Alejandro B.
Rok vydání: 2024
Předmět:
Zdroj: Phys. Rev. E 110, 034308 (2024)
Druh dokumentu: Working Paper
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.110.034308
Popis: We numerically investigate the geometry and transport properties of infection fronts within the spatial SIR model in two dimensions. The model incorporates short-range correlated quenched random transmission rates. Our findings reveal that the critical average transmission rate for the steady-state propagation of the infection is overestimated by the naive mean-field homogenization. Furthermore, we observe that the velocity, profile, and harmfulness of the fronts, given a specific average transmission, are sensitive to the details of randomness. In particular, we find that the harmfulness of the front is larger the more uniform the transmission-rate is, suggesting potential optimization in vaccination strategies under constraints like fixed average-transmission-rates or limited vaccine resources. The large-scale geometry of the advancing fronts presents nevertheless robust universal features and, for a statistically isotropic and short-range correlated disorder, we get a roughness exponent $\alpha\approx 0.42 \pm 0.10$ and a dynamical exponent $z\approx 1.6 \pm 0.10$, which are roughly compatible with the one-dimensional Kardar-Parisi-Zhang (KPZ) universality class. We find that the KPZ term and the disorder-induced effective noise are present and have a kinematic origin.
Comment: 10 pages, 8 figures
Databáze: arXiv