De Finetti's Theorem and Related Results for Infinite Weighted Exchangeable Sequences

Autor: Barber, Rina Foygel, Candes, Emmanuel J., Ramdas, Aaditya, Tibshirani, Ryan J.
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
Druh dokumentu: Working Paper
Popis: De Finetti's theorem, also called the de Finetti-Hewitt-Savage theorem, is a foundational result in probability and statistics. Roughly, it says that an infinite sequence of exchangeable random variables can always be written as a mixture of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) sequences of random variables. In this paper, we consider a weighted generalization of exchangeability that allows for weight functions to modify the individual distributions of the random variables along the sequence, provided that -- modulo these weight functions -- there is still some common exchangeable base measure. We study conditions under which a de Finetti-type representation exists for weighted exchangeable sequences, as a mixture of distributions which satisfy a weighted form of the i.i.d. property. Our approach establishes a nested family of conditions that lead to weighted extensions of other well-known related results as well, in particular, extensions of the zero-one law and the law of large numbers.
Databáze: arXiv