Interacting contagions are indistinguishable from social reinforcement

Autor:	Hébert-Dufresne, Laurent, Scarpino, Samuel V., Young, Jean-Gabriel
Rok vydání:	2019
Předmět:	Physics - Physics and Society Mathematics - Dynamical Systems Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution
Druh dokumentu:	Working Paper
DOI:	10.1038/s41567-020-0791-2
Popis:	From fake news to innovative technologies, many contagions spread via a process of social reinforcement, where multiple exposures are distinct from prolonged exposure to a single source. Contrarily, biological agents such as Ebola or measles are typically thought to spread as simple contagions. Here, we demonstrate that interacting simple contagions are indistinguishable from complex contagions. In the social context, our results highlight the challenge of identifying and quantifying mechanisms, such as social reinforcement, in a world where an innumerable amount of ideas, memes and behaviors interact. In the biological context, this parallel allows the use of complex contagions to effectively quantify the non-trivial interactions of infectious diseases. Comment: Supplementary Material containing details of our simulation and inference procedures is available as an ancillary file
Databáze:	arXiv
Externí odkaz:	http://arxiv.org/abs/1906.01147 Zobrazit plný text záznamu View this record from Arxiv