Emergent regularities and scaling in armed conflict data

Autor: Lee, Edward D., Daniels, Bryan C., Myers, Christopher R., Krakauer, David C., Flack, Jessica C.
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
Druh dokumentu: Working Paper
Popis: Armed conflict exhibits regularities beyond known power law distributions of fatalities and duration over varying culture and geography. We systematically cluster conflict reports from a database of $10^5$ events from Africa spanning 20 years into conflict avalanches. Conflict profiles collapse over a range of scales. Duration, diameter, extent, fatalities, and report totals satisfy mutually consistent scaling relations captured with a model combining geographic spread and local conflict-site growth. The emergence of such social scaling laws hints at principles guiding conflict evolution.
Databáze: arXiv