Box-Jenkins analysis of mean monthly temperature in Rwanda
| Autor: | Jean de Dieu Maniraguha, Emelyne Umunoza Gasana |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2018 |
| Předmět: |
Box–Jenkins
Global warming Climate change Humidity Effects of high altitude on humans Earth surface SARIMA models temperature forecast Climatology Greenhouse gas General Earth and Planetary Sciences Environmental science 62M10 62M20 Natural variability Times series analysis General Environmental Science |
| Zdroj: | Afrika Statistika; Vol 13, No 1 (2018); 1581-1592 Afr. Stat. 13, no. 1 (2018), 1581-1592 |
| ISSN: | 2316-090X |
| Popis: | Generally, temperature is a sensation of coldness and hotness and is affected by air and humidity as climate factors in certain areas. The high altitude of Rwanda provides the country with pleasant tropical highland climate. The recent research done on climate changes and global warming found an increase in temperature of 1 to 2 degrees Celsius between year 2000 and year 2050 due to the natural variability and due to the green house gases that trap the infrared radiation, i.e., these gases will cause the temperature of the earth to increases infrared radiation from the earth surface and reflect it back to the earth. This paper has the general aim of analyze, interpret and forecast the data from Meteo-Rwanda of mean monthly temperature from year 2004-2016 to 2022, from Gitega station in Rwanda. The results of this paper show that there is no true difference in medians of monthly temperature from the taken station. Keywords: Times series analysis; SARIMA models; temperature forecast |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
|