ABCD2 risk score does not predict the presence of cerebral microemboli in patients with hyper-acute symptomatic critical carotid artery stenosis

Autor: Donald R. J. Singer, Christopher H.E. Imray, Charles E. Hutchinson, Mahmud Saedon
Rok vydání: 2017
Předmět:
Platelets
Male
medicine.medical_specialty
Time Factors
microemboli
Ultrasonography
Doppler
Transcranial

medicine.medical_treatment
Clinical Decision-Making
Carotid endarterectomy
030204 cardiovascular system & hematology
Risk Assessment
03 medical and health sciences
0302 clinical medicine
Predictive Value of Tests
Risk Factors
Clinical Decision Rules
medicine
ABCD2
Humans
Carotid Stenosis
In patient
Prospective Studies
Registries
Stroke
Aged
Ischemic Stroke
Framingham Risk Score
Receiver operating characteristic
biology
business.industry
Prognosis
medicine.disease
Transcranial Doppler
Stenosis
Intracranial Embolism
Ischemic Attack
Transient

transcranial doppler
biology.protein
Original Article
Female
Neurology (clinical)
Radiology
Triage
Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine
business
030217 neurology & neurosurgery
Zdroj: Stroke and Vascular Neurology
ISSN: 2059-8696
2059-8688
DOI: 10.1136/svn-2017-000073
Popis: IntroductionABCD2 risk score and cerebral microemboli detected by transcranial Doppler (TCD) have been separately shown to the predict risk of recurrent acute stroke. We studied whether ABCD2 risk score predicts cerebral microemboli in patients with hyper-acute symptomatic carotid artery stenosis.Participants and methodsWe studied 206 patients presenting within 2 weeks of transient ischaemic attack or minor stroke and found to have critical carotid artery stenosis (≥50%). 86 patients (age 70±1 (SEM: years), 58 men, 83 Caucasian) had evidence of microemboli; 72 (84%) of these underwent carotid endarterectomy (CEA). 120 patients (age 72±1 years, 91 men, 113 Caucasian) did not have microemboli detected; 102 (85%) of these underwent CEA. Data were analysed using X2 and Mann–Whitney U tests and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.Results140/206 (68%: 95% CI 61.63 to 74.37) patients with hyper-acute symptomatic critical carotid stenosis had an ABCD2 risk score ≥4. There was no significant difference in the NICE red flag criterion for early assessment (ABCD2 risk score ≥4) for patients with cerebral microemboli versus those without microemboli (59/86 vs 81/120 patients: OR 1.05 ABCD2 risk score ≥4 (95% CI 0.58 to 1.90, p=0.867)). The ABCD2 risk score was 2 risk score showed no prediction of cerebral microemboli (no pre-event APT, n=57: AUC 0.45 (95% CI 0.29 to 0.60, p=0.531); pre-event APT, n=147: AUC 0.51 (95% CI 0.42 to 0.60, p=0.804)).ConclusionsThe ABCD2 score did not predict the presence of cerebral microemboli or carotid disease in over one-quarter of patients with symptomatic critical carotid artery stenosis. On the basis of NICE guidelines (refer early if ABCD2 ≥4), assessment of high stroke risk based on ABCD2 scoring may lead to inappropriate delay in urgent treatment in many patients.
Databáze: OpenAIRE