Social distancing measures could have reduced estimated deaths related to COVID-19 in Brazil
| Autor: | Ana Carolina Gonçalves de Abreu, Pedro de Lemos Menezes, Gustavo Nakamura Alves Vieira, David M. Garner, Vitor Engrácia Valenti |
|---|---|
| Přispěvatelé: | Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp), AL, Medical School of Santa Maria, Oxford Brookes University |
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
Estimation
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) media_common.quotation_subject Social distance Transmission rate Beta-coronavirus SARS virus Coronavirus infections 010501 environmental sciences Pessimism 01 natural sciences Coronavirus Death 03 medical and health sciences 0302 clinical medicine Geography Mortality data Centers for disease control and prevention (U.S.A.) Pandemic 030212 general & internal medicine Life-span and Life-course Studies Coronavirus Infections 0105 earth and related environmental sciences Demography media_common |
| Zdroj: | Scopus Repositório Institucional da UNESP Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) instacron:UNESP |
| Popis: | Judging to make a decision amidst several possibilities that rise to risks, losses, gains and uncertainties is not a simple matter. In this process, the subject needs to verify the situation considering the alternatives that are made up of several elements, among them, the analysis of how much this decision will cost and what benefit it will have in response, and what the consequences will be in the long, medium and short term. In this sense, decision-making is associated with the deliberative and affective process that relates to multiple variables that are interconnected with the flow of information assimilated by the agent who is responsible for the judgment and the decision. This process is interdependent on the subject’s structure with external stimuli. Thus, the individual’s forces and social pressure are important elements to be considered for decision making. For the adolescent, this issue becomes even more important, as it is a phase of human development in which the person exhibits behaviors of risk and during this stage of life there is a process of maturation of the central nervous system, which are related to decision-making and motivational processes. Therefore, decision making among adolescents is a complex issue that in addition to biological factors are directly related to social and psychological elements, depends on a maturity in development, but can be impaired if stressful situations are constant stimuli in the lives of adolescents. = O distanciamento social foi planejado como uma medida preventiva para controlar a disseminação extensiva da COVID-19. Nós analisamos as mortes relacionadas à COVID-19 no Brasil durante o período de medidas de distanciamento social. Os dados de mortalidade do COVID-19 foram obtidos no site da Worldometer (www.worldometer.info). As mortes foram estimadas até o 31º dia após a 5ª morte. O distanciamento social foi medido por meio dos relatórios de mobilidade comunitária COVID-19; Google (https://www.google.com/covid19/mobility/). As curvas epidêmicas brasileiras foram interligadas e os modelos matemáticos foram avaliados para se ajustarem às curvas de estimativa de mortalidade. O modelo otimista foi fundado no período de abertura da distância social e, portanto, na menor mobilidade (40-60%). O modelo realista foi calculado de acordo com medidas de distanciamento social relaxado ( |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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