Prediction of daily global solar radiation using different empirical models at eastern subtropical region, Nepal

Autor: Acharya, Bishwa B., Shrestha, Yugal K., Dhakal, Sandeep, Joshi, Usha, Poudyal, Khem N.
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.4620353
Popis: The current study estimates the daily global solar radiation (GSR) at subtropical region of eastern Nepal at Biratnagar Airport (lat. 26°28′53″N, long. 87°15′50″E and Alt. 72m) for 2016 using measured GSR values and meteorological parameters from 2015. The maximum of measured GSR of magnitude 15.9 MJ/m2/day was found in April while the minimum of magnitude 8.7 MJ/m2/day was found in January. Meteorological parameters such as the temperature and their relation with the GSR were utilized for this comparative study. Temperature-based multi-variable linear empirical models were used to perform regression analysis and determine the regression coefficients. The calculated regression coefficients from these models were utilized to predict the GSR values for subsequent year. The variation in the GSR estimated from these models were compared. Variation between measured GSR and estimated GSR for 2015 was also studied for each of these models. Performance comparison of these models was carried out by employing mean bias error (MBE), relative root mean square error (RRMSE) and adjusted coefficient of determination (R2). Such study is relevant in situations where reliable data for sunshine duration is not adequately available. The Falayi model has the highest adjusted R2 value of 0.61 but the largest MBE of 14.1%. The Garcia model has least adjusted R2 value of 0.55 but least MBE of 6.6%. Both the Garcia and Chen and Li model predict similar GSR value of 12.8 and 12.5 MJ/m2/day.
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