Emergency medical admissions and COVID-19: impact on 30-day mortality and hospital length of stay
| Autor: | Richard Conway, Deirdre O'Riordan, Bernard Silke, Nadim Akasheh, Brian D. Kent, Brian P. O’Connell, Cliona Ni Cheallaigh, Joseph Browne, Declan Byrne, Barry M. J. Kennedy |
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| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2021 |
| Předmět: |
Relative risk reduction
Emergency medical admissions medicine.medical_specialty Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) Logistic regression symbols.namesake Patient Admission Pandemic medicine Resource utilization Humans Poisson regression Hospital Mortality Mortality Pandemics Retrospective Studies business.industry COVID-19 General Medicine Length of Stay Hospitals 30 day mortality Emergency medicine symbols Number needed to treat Original Article business |
| Zdroj: | Irish Journal of Medical Science |
| ISSN: | 1863-4362 0021-1265 |
| Popis: | Background The COVID-19 pandemic has put considerable strain on healthcare systems. Aim To investigate the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on 30-day in-hospital mortality, length of stay (LOS) and resource utilization in acute medical care. Methods We compared emergency medical admissions to a single secondary care centre during 2020 to the preceding 18 years (2002–2019). We investigated 30-day in-hospital mortality with a multiple variable logistic regression model. Utilization of procedures/services was related to LOS with zero truncated Poisson regression. Results There were 132,715 admissions in 67,185 patients over the 19-year study. There was a linear reduction in 30-day in-hospital mortality over time; over the most recent 5 years (2016–2020), there was a relative risk reduction of 36%, from 7.9 to 4.3% with a number needed to treat of 27.7. Emergency medical admissions increased 18.8% to 10,452 in 2020 with COVID-19 admissions representing 3.5%. 18.6% of COVID-19 cases required ICU admission with a median stay of 10.1 days (IQR 3.8, 16.0). COVID-19 was a significant univariate predictor of 30-day in-hospital mortality, 18.5% (95%CI: 13.9, 23.1) vs. 3.0% (95%CI: 2.7, 3.4)—OR 7.3 (95%CI: 5.3, 10.1). ICU admission was the dominant outcome predictor—OR 12.4 (95%CI: 7.7, 20.1). COVID-19 mortality in the last third of 2020 improved—OR 0.64 (95%CI: 0.47, 0.86). Hospital LOS and resource utilization were increased. Conclusion A diagnosis of COVID-19 was associated with significantly increased mortality and LOS but represented only 3.5% of admissions and did not attenuate the established temporal decline in overall in-hospital mortality. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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