Comparison of the Evolution of the COVID-19 Disease between Romania and Italy
| Autor: | Jurij Avsec, Emilian Bulgariu, Matej Mencinger, Brigita Ferčec, Ciprian Chiruţă |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
2019-20 coronavirus outbreak
COVID-19 pandemic evolution Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) lcsh:Technology 01 natural sciences Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering 010305 fluids & plasmas 03 medical and health sciences Artificial Intelligence 0103 physical sciences time dependent SIR model 030304 developmental biology 0303 health sciences Government lcsh:T lcsh:T57-57.97 Applied Mathematics Romanian language.human_language Northern italy Human-Computer Interaction Geography Economy Control and Systems Engineering lcsh:Applied mathematics. Quantitative methods Value (economics) language Information Systems |
| Zdroj: | Applied System Innovation; Volume 3; Issue 4; Pages: 44 Applied System Innovation, Vol 3, Iss 44, p 44 (2020) |
| ISSN: | 2571-5577 |
| Popis: | After the outbreak of COVID-19 in Italy, thousands of Romanian citizens who worked in Northern Italy, Spain or Germany returned to Romania. Based on the time-dependent susceptible–infected–recovered—SIR model, this paper compares the evolution of the COVID-19 disease between Romania and Italy, assuming that the parameter value of R0 in the time-dependent SIR model decreases to R1 < R0 after publicly announced restrictions by the government, and increases to a value of R2 < R1 when the restrictions are lifted. Among other things, we answer the questions about the date and extent of the second peak in Italy and Romania with respect to different values of R2 and the duration of the restrictions. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
|