A rational-choice model of Covid-19 transmission with endogenous quarantining and two-sided prevention
Autor: | Shankha Chakraborty, Xiumei Yu, Joydeep Bhattacharya |
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Jazyk: | angličtina |
Rok vydání: | 2021 |
Předmět: |
Infection risk
2019-20 coronavirus outbreak Economics and Econometrics Inequality Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) media_common.quotation_subject Psychological intervention Disease Article law.invention Microeconomics Economic inequality law 0502 economics and business Economics 050205 econometrics media_common COVID Risk of infection Applied Mathematics 05 social sciences Transmission (mechanics) Quarantine 050206 economic theory |
Zdroj: | Journal of Mathematical Economics |
ISSN: | 0304-4068 |
DOI: | 10.1016/j.jmateco.2021.102492 |
Popis: | This paper offers a parsimonious, rational-choice model to study the effect of pre-existing inequalities on the transmission of COVID-19. Agents decide whether to “go out” (or self-quarantine) and, if so, whether to wear protection such as masks. Three elements distinguish the model from existing work. First, non-symptomatic agents do not know if they are infected. Second, some of these agents unknowingly transmit infections. Third, we permit two-sided prevention via the use of non-pharmaceutical interventions: the probability of a person catching the virus from another depends on protection choices made by each. We find that a mean-preserving increase in pre-existing income inequality unambiguously increases the equilibrium proportion of unprotected, socializing agents and may increase or decrease the proportion who self-quarantine. Strikingly, while higher pre-COVID inequality may or may not raise the overall risk of infection, it increases the risk of disease in social interactions. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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