Prospects of interventions to alleviate rural–urban migration in Jiangsu Province, China based on sensitivity and scenario analysis

Autor:	Saket Pande, Haoyang Lyu, Zengchuan Dong, Mahendran Roobavannan, Jaya Kandasamy
Rok vydání:	2020
Předmět:	Driving factors Environmental Engineering business.industry media_common.quotation_subject 0208 environmental biotechnology 0406 Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience 0905 Civil Engineering 0907 Environmental Engineering Subsidy 02 engineering and technology 020801 environmental engineering Agriculture Urbanization Unemployment Development economics labour demand rural–urban migration Business Scenario analysis Rural area Agricultural productivity agriculture policy interventions Water Science and Technology media_common
Zdroj:	Hydrological Sciences Journal, 65(13)
ISSN:	2150-3435 0262-6667
DOI:	10.1080/02626667.2020.1802030
Popis:	© 2020 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. Rural–urban migration is an adaptive response to location-specific environmental or socio-economic stressors. Jiangsu Province, China is witnessing rapid economic growth fuelled by manufacturing and services sector. Rural–urban migration in Jiangsu, which brings higher stress to resource-carrying capacity of urban areas, is driven by rural “push” factors, principally labour surplus and unemployment in agriculture. This study investigates possible policy interventions aimed at relieving the rapid rural–urban migration in Jiangsu based on a sensitivity analysis of driving factors in rural agricultural production. It shows that rural–urban migration is sensitive to input elasticities of precipitation and labour. Two groups of scenario analysis corresponding to possible policy interventions are implemented. The first policy focuses on providing government subsidies to rural non-agricultural industries then compensate for the shrinking agricultural production. Another policy supports education in rural areas to provide more skilled labour resource which can be absorbed by non-agricultural industries. Both two policies are effective in reducing rural unemployment and alleviating rural–urban migration.
Databáze:	OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz:	https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::55a292cdb89d5ec8ad641adef9083451 https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2020.1802030 Zobrazit plný text záznamu Plný text ve formátu PDF Plný text ve formátu HTML
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