Performance and Clinical Utility of Models Predicting Eradication of Nodal Disease in Patients with Clinically Node-Positive Breast Cancer Treated with Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy by Tumor Biology

Autor: Mara A. Piltin, Mark Wickre, Tanya L. Hoskin, John M. Davis, Judy C. Boughey, Courtney N. Day, Abigail S. Caudle
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: Annals of Surgical Oncology. 27:4678-4686
ISSN: 1534-4681
1068-9265
Popis: Prediction models are useful to guide decision making. Our goal was to compare three published nomograms predicting axillary response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC), clinically node-positive breast cancer. Patients with cT1–T4, cN1–N3 breast cancer treated with NAC and surgery from 2008 to 2019 were reviewed. The predicted probability of pathologic node-negative (ypN0) status was estimated for each nomogram. Area under the curve (AUC) was compared across models, overall and by biologic subtype. Of 581 patients, 253 (43.5%) were ypN0. ypN0 status varied by subtype: 23.9% for estrogen receptor-positive (ER+)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2−), 68.9% for HER2-positive (HER2+), and 47.2% for ER-negative (ER−)/HER2−. The three nomograms had similar AUC values (0.761–0.769; p = 0.80). The Mayo model-predicted probability was significantly lower (p
Databáze: OpenAIRE