Investigating survivorship bias: The case of the 1918 flu pandemic
| Autor: | Laurent Kaiser, Joël Floris, Ulrich Woitek, Kaspar Staub, Harald Mayr |
|---|---|
| Přispěvatelé: | University of Zurich |
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2021 |
| Předmět: |
Economics and Econometrics
Pränatale Entwicklung Langfristige Analyse J24 Grippe 610 Medicine & health Culling Sterblichkeit ECON Department of Economics 1918 flu pandemic Foetal origins 10007 Department of Economics Selective mortality Pandemic Schweiz ddc:330 Medicine I10 1918 flu pandemic Fetal origins hypothesis I15 culling N34 I18 business.industry Pandemie Fetal health 10109 Institute of History 330 Economics survivorship bias Survivorship bias 11294 Institute of Evolutionary Medicine Sozialstatus Birth records business Demography |
| Zdroj: | Applied Economics Letters, 29 (21) |
| ISSN: | 1350-4851 1466-4291 |
| Popis: | Estimates of the effect of foetal health shocks may suffer from survivorship bias. The foetal origins literature seemingly agrees that survivorship bias is innocuous in the sense that it induces a bias towards zero. Arguably, however, selective mortality can imply a bias away from zero. In the case of the 1918 flu pandemic, a suppressed immune system may have been protective against the most severe consequences of infection. We use historical birth records from the maternity hospital of Bern, Switzerland, to evaluate this possibility. Our results suggest that a careful consideration of survivorship bias is imperative for the evaluation of the 1918 flu pandemic and other foetal health shocks. Applied Economics Letters, 29 (21) ISSN:1350-4851 ISSN:1466-4291 ISSN:1350-5851 |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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