Yellow fever impact on brown howler monkeys (Alouatta guariba clamitans) in Argentina: a metamodelling approach based on population viability analysis and epidemiological dynamics
| Autor: | Philip S. Miller, Luciana Inés Oklander, Mariela Florencia Martínez, Silvina Goenaga, Eduardo Ariel Lestani, Ingrid Holzmann, Miguel Martin Kowalewski, Eduardo Stramandinoli Moreno, Arnaud Leonard Jean Desbiez, Pablo Martín Beldomenico, Ilaria Agostini, Mario S. Di Bitetti |
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| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2015 |
| Předmět: |
Microbiology (medical)
Male lcsh:Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine wildlife disease lcsh:RC955-962 Population Population Dynamics lcsh:QR1-502 Argentina Zoology lcsh:Microbiology Disease Outbreaks purl.org/becyt/ford/1 [https] Ciencias Biológicas sensitivity analysis Yellow Fever Brown howler monkey Animals conservation medicine purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6 [https] education Alouatta education.field_of_study biology Ecology Monkey Diseases Outbreak Articles biology.organism_classification Population decline Population viability analysis Geography Infectious disease (medical specialty) Howler monkey disease impact Female Conservation medicine CIENCIAS NATURALES Y EXACTAS Conservación de la Biodiversidad |
| Zdroj: | Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Volume: 110, Issue: 7, Pages: 865-876, Published: 23 OCT 2015 CONICET Digital (CONICET) Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas instacron:CONICET Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz., Vol 110, Iss 7, Pp 865-876 (2015) |
| ISSN: | 1678-8060 0074-0276 |
| Popis: | In South America, yellow fever (YF) is an established infectious disease that has been identified outside of its traditional endemic areas, affecting human and nonhuman primate (NHP) populations. In the epidemics that occurred in Argentina between 2007-2009, several outbreaks affecting humans and howler monkeys (Alouatta spp) were reported, highlighting the importance of this disease in the context of conservation medicine and public health policies. Considering the lack of information about YF dynamics in New World NHP, our main goal was to apply modelling tools to better understand YF transmission dynamics among endangered brown howler monkey (Alouatta guariba clamitans) populations in northeastern Argentina. Two complementary modelling tools were used to evaluate brown howler population dynamics in the presence of the disease: Vortex, a stochastic demographic simulation model, and Outbreak, a stochastic disease epidemiology simulation. The baseline model of YF disease epidemiology predicted a very high probability of population decline over the next 100 years. We believe the modelling approach discussed here is a reasonable description of the disease and its effects on the howler monkey population and can be useful to support evidence-based decision-making to guide actions at a regional level. Fil: Moreno, Eduardo S.. Universidade Federal do Oeste do Pará. Programa de Pós-Graduação Natureza, Sociedade e Desenvolvimento; Brasil Fil: Agostini, Ilaria. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cientificas y Tecnicas. Centro Cientifico Tecnologico Nordeste. Instituto de Biologia Subtropical. Instituto de Biologia Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazu; Argentina. Centro de Investigaciones del Bosque Atlantico; Argentina Fil: Holzmann, Ingrid. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cientificas y Tecnicas. Centro Cientifico Tecnologico Nordeste. Instituto de Biologia Subtropical. Instituto de Biologia Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazu; Argentina. Centro de Investigaciones del Bosque Atlantico; Argentina Fil: Di Bitetti, Mario Santiago. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cientificas y Tecnicas. Centro Cientifico Tecnologico Nordeste. Instituto de Biologia Subtropical. Instituto de Biologia Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazu; Argentina. Centro de Investigaciones del Bosque Atlantico; Argentina Fil: Oklander, Luciana Inés. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cientificas y Tecnicas. Centro Cientifico Tecnologico Nordeste. Instituto de Biologia Subtropical. Instituto de Biologia Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazu; Argentina. Centro de Investigaciones del Bosque Atlantico; Argentina Fil: Kowalewski, Miguel Martin. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Museo Argentino de Ciencias Naturales; Argentina Fil: Beldomenico, Pablo Martín. Universidad Nacional del Litoral; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Santa Fe. Instituto de Ciencias Veterinarias del Litoral; Argentina Fil: Goenaga, Silvina. Instituto Nacional de Enfermedades Virales Humanas "Dr. Julio I Maiztegui"; Argentina Fil: Martínez, Mariela Florencia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cientificas y Tecnicas. Centro Cientifico Tecnologico Nordeste. Instituto de Biologia Subtropical. Instituto de Biologia Subtropical - Nodo Puerto Iguazu; Argentina. Ministerio de Salud. Instituto Nacional de Medicina Tropical; Argentina Fil: Lestani, Eduardo Ariel. Ministerio de Salud. Instituto Nacional de Medicina Tropical; Argentina Fil: Desbiez, Arnaud L. J.. Royal Zoological Society of Scotland; Reino Unido Fil: Miller, Philip. International Union for Conservation of Nature. Species Survival Commission. Conservation Breeding Specialist Group; Estados Unidos |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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