Modeling the impact of climate change on mussel aquaculture in a coastal upwelling system: A critical assessment
| Autor: | Isabel Fuentes-Santos, Susan Kay, X. Antón Álvarez-Salgado, María José Fernández-Reiriz, Uxío Labarta, Solfrid Sætre Hjøllo |
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| Přispěvatelé: | European Commission |
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2021 |
| Předmět: |
Environmental Engineering
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences Climate Change Dynamic energy budget Climate change Aquaculture 010501 environmental sciences 01 natural sciences Regional climate model Animals Environmental Chemistry 14. Life underwater Climate uncertainty Waste Management and Disposal 0105 earth and related environmental sciences Mytilus business.industry Oceanic climate Mussel Pollution Bivalvia Management Current (stream) Oceanography Seafood Mytilus galloprovincialis 13. Climate action Environmental science Upwelling Bias correction Climate model business Coastal upwelling |
| Zdroj: | Science of the Total Environment Digital.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC instname |
| Popis: | 12 pages, 7 figures, 1 table.-- This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license Forecasting of climate change impacts on marine aquaculture production has become a major research task, which requires taking into account the biases and uncertainties arising from ocean climate models in coastal areas, as well as considering culture management strategies. Focusing on the suspended mussel culture in the NW Iberian coastal upwelling system, we simulated current and future mussel growth by means of a multistructural net production Dynamic Energy Budget (DEB) model. We considered two scenarios and three ocean climate models to account for climate uncertainty, and applied a bias correction to the climate models in coastal areas. Our results show that the predicted impact of climate change on mussel growth is low compared with the role of the seeding time. However, the response of mussels varied across climate models, ranging from a minor growth decline to a moderate growth increase. Therefore, this work confirms that an accurate forecasting of climate change impacts on shellfish aquaculture should take into account the variability linked to both management strategies and climate uncertainty This study has been funded by EU H2020 project ClimeFish (EU 677039) |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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