Multi-product coal distribution and price discovery for the domestic market via mathematical optimisation

Autor: R.C.A. Minnitt, Maryke C. Rademeyer, Rosemary Falcon
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: Mineral Economics. 34:113-126
ISSN: 2191-2211
2191-2203
DOI: 10.1007/s13563-020-00232-5
Popis: This paper investigates the implications for coal supply security for the domestic South African market when faced with weaker export demand. A model is proposed of domestic coal trade via a trading hub which links coal production to consumer markets. An application of the theory for equilibrium price discovery at the mine-trader and trader-consumer interfaces is also described. It is found that the profit-maximising trader seeks to sell more volumes to domestic consumers of higher-grade coal to compensate for earnings lost due to lower export volumes. This results in lower prices on higher-grade product. Supply to domestic consumers of lower-grade coal appears to be unaffected by the weaker export market, with the price on lower-grade coal constant.
Databáze: OpenAIRE