A Simulation Model for Sexual and Vectorial Transmission of Zika Virus (ZIKV)
| Autor: | Anibal Munoz Loaiza, Carlos Alberto Abello Munoz, Dalia M. Muñoz Pizza, John Faber Arredondo Montoya, Steven Raigosa Osorio, Angie Johanna Osorio, Oscar Arias Manrique, Hans Meyer Contreras, Julián Alejandro Olarte García |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2017 |
| Předmět: |
education.field_of_study
Sexual transmission biology business.industry 030231 tropical medicine 05 social sciences Population Outbreak Sexual relationship biology.organism_classification Virology 050105 experimental psychology Zika virus law.invention 03 medical and health sciences 0302 clinical medicine Transmission (mechanics) law Medicine 0501 psychology and cognitive sciences education business Infected population Demography |
| Zdroj: | Open Journal of Modelling and Simulation. :70-82 |
| ISSN: | 2327-4026 2327-4018 |
| DOI: | 10.4236/ojmsi.2017.51006 |
| Popis: | Nowadays the Zika virus (ZIKV) has been one of the most studied vector-borne diseases due to the considerable outbreaks that have generated around the world as well as due to the new transmission mechanisms and health complications originated. According to statistics of the INS-Colombia for July 2016, 68% of the population infected by ZIKV (confirmed cases) are pregnant women. Furthermore, the Quindio department belongs to the states with more than 50% of the total infected persons being pregnant women. Taking into account those characteristics, a theoretical model is proposed and analyzed to describe the population dynamics considering the sexual and vectorial transmission of ZIKV, with special emphasis in the consequences of the non-vectorial transmission in the population. The obtained results with simulations through the beta parameter indicate that the probability of sexual transmission between susceptible women and infected men points out the importance of campaigns to inculcate prevention measures for the safe sexual relationships between ZIKV infected population. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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