Use of cues in forecasting tasks: Evidence from sport predictions
Autor: | Norbert Becser, Bálint Esse, Richárd Szántó |
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Rok vydání: | 2018 |
Předmět: |
Public Administration
Sociology and Political Science Strategy and Management media_common.quotation_subject 05 social sciences Applied psychology League 0502 economics and business Industrial relations Quality (business) 050207 economics Business and International Management Heuristics Psychology General Economics Econometrics and Finance 050205 econometrics media_common |
Zdroj: | Society and Economy. 40:587-603 |
ISSN: | 1588-970X 1588-9726 |
DOI: | 10.1556/204.2018.40.4.7 |
Popis: | We asked Hungarian students to make soccer forecasts for a round of the Chilean Primera Division, which was selected to minimise recognition heuristics, as this league is not followed by Hungarian soccer fans. Students made their forecasts based on cues about the teams. They received sets of cues of different quality based on previously composed expert evaluations of the given information. Although there were interesting findings regarding expertise and gender differences, the central question concerned how students evaluated the cues they received. Results show a pattern that we interpret as the contrast effect in information sets, which is present independent of gender or expertise. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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