Use of cues in forecasting tasks: Evidence from sport predictions

Autor: Norbert Becser, Bálint Esse, Richárd Szántó
Rok vydání: 2018
Předmět:
Zdroj: Society and Economy. 40:587-603
ISSN: 1588-970X
1588-9726
DOI: 10.1556/204.2018.40.4.7
Popis: We asked Hungarian students to make soccer forecasts for a round of the Chilean Primera Division, which was selected to minimise recognition heuristics, as this league is not followed by Hungarian soccer fans. Students made their forecasts based on cues about the teams. They received sets of cues of different quality based on previously composed expert evaluations of the given information. Although there were interesting findings regarding expertise and gender differences, the central question concerned how students evaluated the cues they received. Results show a pattern that we interpret as the contrast effect in information sets, which is present independent of gender or expertise.
Databáze: OpenAIRE