Parameter inference in a probabilistic model from data: Regulation of transition rate in the Monte Carlo method

Autor: Hirohito Kiwata
Rok vydání: 2018
Předmět:
Zdroj: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications. 491:1014-1022
ISSN: 0378-4371
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.09.103
Popis: We consider the inference of parameters in a probabilistic model from a data set, which is generated by an unknown probabilistic model. The Monte Carlo method is a tool for obtaining a data set obeying a given probability distribution. A set of transition rates is required to satisfy three conditions (irreducible, aperiodic, and stationary) for a sampled data set to represent a probability distribution. We utilize the stationary condition of a probability distribution with respect to transition rates to infer parameters. A frequency distribution by a data set substitutes for an unknown probability distribution in the condition. Our method includes minimum probability flow as a special case and becomes superior to it as the number of samples increases.
Databáze: OpenAIRE