Long-term Forecast of the Demographic Transition in Japan and Asia
| Autor: | Takao Komine, Shigesaburo Kabe |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2009 |
| Předmět: |
media_common.quotation_subject
Advanced stage Demographic transition Management Monitoring Policy and Law Term (time) Social security Voting Political Science and International Relations Development economics Economics Demographic Aging China General Economics Econometrics and Finance media_common Demographic structure |
| Zdroj: | Asian Economic Policy Review. 4:19-38 |
| ISSN: | 1748-3131 1832-8105 |
| DOI: | 10.1111/j.1748-3131.2009.01103.x |
| Popis: | The demographic structure of Asia is expected to change rapidly from around 2020 up to around 2050. Following Japan, which is already at an advanced stage of aging and birthrate decline, China, South Korea, Thailand, and Singapore will also witness a further decline in their birthrates and an aging of their populations. Next in line will be the remaining countries of the Association of South-East Asian Nations as well as India. Such changes, accompanied by a decline in the labor force, will not only adversely affect economic growth, but also have a major impact on voting structures, savings rates, and social security systems. Moreover, the process of demographic aging in Asia will be faster than in Japan, and its extent will be substantial, both of which exacerbates the negative effects. On positive side, these trends will give rise to the emergence of new markets. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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