Predicting the meanBzmagnitude
| Autor: | R. C. Prebble, T. L. Lawrence, C. F. Keating |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2001 |
| Předmět: |
Physics
Atmospheric Science Ecology Phase (waves) Paleontology Soil Science Magnitude (mathematics) Magnetosphere Forestry Geophysics Aquatic Science Oceanography Computational physics Solar cycle Maxima and minima Time frame Space and Planetary Science Geochemistry and Petrology Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) Maxima Earth-Surface Processes Water Science and Technology |
| Zdroj: | Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics. 106:21009-21015 |
| ISSN: | 0148-0227 |
| Popis: | When a “boxcar” average of the Bz magnitude is plotted, a clear cyclic pattern is apparent with an approximate correlation with the sunspot cycle. The Bz cycle minima are seen to occur at nearly the same time as the sunspot cycle minima. The cyclic maxima appear to be characterized by a double peak, with the second peak occurring in the descending phase of the sunspot cycle. This cyclical nature makes it possible to apply the McNish-Lincoln technique to make predictions concerning the future level of Bz magnitude. This method leads to a prediction of the maximum average magnitude in Bz occurring in the year 2003 time frame. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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