PATIENT’S INFLUX AT OUTPATIENT MEDICAL LABORATORY (OPML)
| Autor: | Zaheer-ul-Hassan Mir, Muhammad Mahadi Abdul Jamil, Abdul Majeed Akhtar, Muhammad Ibrahim, Maqsood Ahmad, Safoora Akbar |
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| Rok vydání: | 2015 |
| Předmět: | |
| Zdroj: | The Professional Medical Journal. 22:767-775 |
| ISSN: | 2071-7733 1024-8919 |
| DOI: | 10.29309/tpmj/2015.22.06.1245 |
| Popis: | Objective: Uni-variate time series data analysis has been reported in medicalliterature for prediction the patients volume, emergency overcrowding, stay length in hospitalon surgical procedure and bed occupancy in hospital wards, patients influx or patients arrival,moreover to estimate the cost of hospital stay or any medical or surgical procedure. Design:The present study was designed to fit an appropriate uni-variate ARIMA model (Box-Jenkinmethodology) to forecast the patient’s incoming at OPML, Mayo Hospital, Lahore. Setting:Mayo Hospital Lahore, Period: September 2009 to December 2013 were used for fitting thebest model. Method: Time series data of male, female and peads patients coming/reportingin OPML, OPD. Result & conclusion: The appropriate model for male and female data wasfound as ARIMA (1, 0, 1) and for peads as ARIMA (1, 1, 1) after residuals diagnostic checks. Theestimated number of male patients for Month of January2014 is 632 whereas the actual incomingof male patients in the month of January, 2014 was 649, which shows that the estimated modelhas ability to forecast the number of incoming patients accurately. It is now concluded that thefitted ARIMA model can be used to forecast the patients incoming to OPD Medical Laboratoryfor future planning and management. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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