Analysis of selected single-tree growth models suitable for large-scale modelling and their potential use in Slovenia
| Autor: | Jevšenak, Jernej, Mali, Boštjan, Skudnik, Mitja |
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| Jazyk: | slovinština |
| Rok vydání: | 2023 |
| Předmět: |
napovedovanje
forecasting permanent sample plots forest policy razvoj gozda modelling large-scale forest inventory modeliranje stalne vzorčne ploskve udc:630*52:630*903(045)=163.6 forest development velikoprostorska gozdna inventura gozdarska politika simulator razvoja gozdov forest development simulator |
| Zdroj: | Acta Silvae et Ligni, vol. 130, pp. 1-16, 2023. Acta silvae et ligni, vol. 130, pp. 1-16, 2023. |
| ISSN: | 2335-3112 |
| Popis: | Prispevek obravnava drevesne modele razvoja gozdov, ki so pomembno orodje pri odločanju, upravljanju in strateških odločitvah na področju gospodarjenja z gozdovi. V Sloveniji smo šele v zadnjih letih pričeli s sistematičnim razvojem področja modeliranja gozdov, ki vključuje razvoj matričnega populacijskega modela, testiranje izbranih modelov iz tujine ter razvoj posameznih komponent modelov. Namen prispevka je predstaviti področje empiričnih drevesnih modelov za modeliranje razvoja gozdov na velikoprostorski ravni. Podrobneje predstavljamo uveljavljene metode za modeliranje posameznih komponent drevesnih modelov, kot so debelinska in višinska rast, razvoj krošnje, mortaliteta ter vrast in pomlajevanje. Opravili smo presojo primernosti izbranih drevesnih modelov z vidika možnost njihove uporabe v Sloveniji. Ugotavljamo, da imajo modeli SILVA, WEHAM, MASSIMO in CALDIS največje možnosti za uporabo v Sloveniji, saj so vsi primerni za različne gozdne tipe in mešane gozdove z raznomerno zgradbo, ki prevladujejo v Sloveniji. Poleg testiranja obstoječih modelov predlagamo razvoj novih modelov, prilagojenih raznomernim in mešanim sestojem v Sloveniji. Predlagamo tudi razširitev nabora kazalnikov pri gozdnih inventurah ter dodatne meritve značilnosti dreves, npr. lastnosti krošenj, ki bi razširile možnosti modeliranja razvoja gozdov v Sloveniji. V zaključkih razpravljamo tudi o možnosti uporabe strojnega učenja na področju modeliranja razvoja gozdov, saj bi tovrstni modeli lahko predstavljali naslednjo generacijo modelov. This article discusses single-tree growth models, which have become an important tool for decision-making, management and strategic decisions in the field of forest management. In Slovenia, we have only recently begun systematic development in the field of forest modelling, which includes the development of a matrix population model, testing selected models from abroad and the development of individual model components. The goal of our work is to introduce the field of empirical single-tree models for modelling forest development on a larger scale. We provide a detailed overview of established methods for modelling individual components of tree models, such as radial and height growth, crown recession, mortality, and recruitment and regeneration. We evaluated the suitability of the selected models from the perspective of their applicability in Slovenia. We conclude that the SILVA, WEHAM, MASSIMO and CALDIS models have the greatest potential for use in Slovenia, as they are all suitable for the different forest types and mixed forests with different structure that prevail in Slovenia. In addition to testing the existing models, we propose the development of new models adapted to the heterogeneous and mixed stands in Slovenia. We also propose expanding the set of indicators in forest inventories and measuring additional tree characteristics, such as canopy characteristics, which would expand forest modelling opportunities in Slovenia. In the conclusions, we also discuss the potential use of machine learning in forest development modelling, as this type of model could represent the next generation of forest models. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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