Climate change alters the future of natural floristic regions of deep evolutionary origins.

Autor: Minev-Benzecry, Samuel, Daru, Barnabas H.
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Zdroj: Nature Communications; 11/2/2024, Vol. 15 Issue 1, p1-10, 10p
Abstrakt: Biogeographic regions reflect the organization of biotas over long evolutionary timescales but face alterations from recent anthropogenic climate change. Here, we model species distributions for 189,269 vascular plant species of the world under present and future climates and use this data to generate biogeographic regions based on phylogenetic dissimilarity. Our analysis reveals declines in phylogenetic beta diversity for years 2040 to 2100, leading to a future homogenization of biogeographic regions. While some biogeographic boundaries will persist, climate change will alter boundaries separating biogeographic realms. Such boundary alterations will be determined by altitude variation, heterogeneity of temperature seasonality, and past climate velocity. Our findings suggest that human activities may now surpass the geological forces that shaped floristic regions over millions of years, calling for the mitigation of climate impacts to meet international biodiversity targets. Biogeographic regions reflect the organization of biotas over long evolutionary timescales. Here the authors show that climate change will lead to the persistence of some biogeographic regions and alteration of deeper biogeographic boundaries that separate historically distinctive plant assemblages. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Databáze: Complementary Index