Predictive factors of progression to severe COVID-19.

Autor: Yi-Hong Zhou, Huan Li, Yuan-Yuan Qin, Xiao-Feng Yan, Yan-Qiu Lu, Hong-Lan Liu, Si-Kuan Ye, Yan Wan, Lu Zhang, Harypursat, Vijay, Yaokai Chen
Zdroj: Open Medicine; Jan2020, Vol. 15 Issue 1, p805-814, 10p, 6 Charts, 1 Graph
Abstrakt: Aim ‒ Early diagnosis and treatment are crucial for the survival of severe Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients, but data with regard to risk factors for disease progression from milder COVID-19 to severe COVID-19 remain scarce. Methods ‒ We conducted a retrospective analysis on 116 patients. Results ‒ Three factors were observed to be independently associated with progression to severe COVID-19 during 14 days after admission: (a) age 65 years or older (hazard ratio [HR] = 8.456; 95% CI: 2.706–26.426); (b) creatine kinase (CK) ≥ 180 U/L (HR = 3.667; 95% CI: 1.253–10.733); and (c) CD4+ T-cell counts <300 cells/µL (HR = 4.695; 95% CI: 1.483–14.856). The difference in rates of severe COVID-19 development was found to be statistically significant between patients aged 65 years or older (46.2%) and those younger than 65 years (90.2%), between patients with CK ≥ 180 U/L (55.6%) and those with CK < 180 U/L (91.5%), and between patients with CD4+ T-cell counts <300 cells/µL (53.8%) and those with CD4+ cell counts ≥300 cells/µL (83.2%). Conclusions ‒ Age ≥ 65 years, CK ≥ 180 U/L, and CD4+ T-cell counts <300 cells/µL at admission were risk factors independently associated with disease progression to severe COVID-19 during 14 days after admission and are therefore potential markers for disease progression in patients with milder COVID-19. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Databáze: Complementary Index