Determining the bacterial and viral meningitis trend in Iraq from 2007 till 2023 using joinpoint regression.

Autor:	Khaleel HA; Communicable Diseases Control Centre, Directorate of Public Health, Ministry of Health, Baghdad, Iraq., Alhilfi RA; Directorate of Public Health, Ministry of Health, Baghdad, Iraq., Rawaf S; WHO Collaborating Centre, Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, UK., Atwan Z; Virology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Basrah, Iraq., Al-Alwany AA; University of Bagdad College of Medicine, Iraq., Raheem M; WHO Collaborating Centre, Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, UK., Tabche C; WHO Collaborating Centre, Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, UK.
Jazyk:	angličtina
Zdroj:	Heliyon [Heliyon] 2024 Apr 22; Vol. 10 (9), pp. e30088. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Apr 22 (Print Publication: 2024).
DOI:	10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e30088
Abstrakt:	Background: Acute meningitis is a disease with case fatality and disability rate that is dependent on the causative agent. Objective: Determine the meningitis trend in Iraq from 2007 to 2023 using a joinpoint regression at national and sub-national levels and describe the epidemiology. Methods: Joinpoint regression model was used on surveillance data from Jan 2007 until May 2023, to calculate annual and average annual percent changes to determine the trend. Meningitis total count was modelled by year of reporting and province using the log transformation and Poisson variance. Best-fit model was chosen based on the weighted BIC criteria as the final point. Results: Bacterial meningitis was higher than viral meningitis from 2007 to 2018, then viral meningitis started to exceed till 2023. Meningococcal meningitis was lower than other bacterial and viral meningitis from 2007 to 2023. Most meningitis cases across the years were lower than 15 years, at almost 80 %, while 20 %-40 % were lower than one year. Across all years, 55 % of the cases were males; apart from 2019, 70 % were females. Conclusion: In Iraq, viral meningitis has been the predominant type since 2018. Most meningitis patients were lower than 15-year-old males. The meningitis trend in Iraq was stable from 2007 till 2023. Competing Interests: The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper. (© 2024 Published by Elsevier Ltd.)
Databáze:	MEDLINE
Externí odkaz:	Zobrazit plný text záznamu