Comprehensive Comparative Analysis of Standard Validated, Genetic, and Novel Biomarkers to Enhance Prognostic Risk-Stratification in Patients With Hepatitis C Virus Cirrhosis.

Autor: Innes H; School of Health and Life Sciences, Glasgow Caledonian University, Glasgow, UK.; Division of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.; Public Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK., Walker AJ; The DataLab, Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, UK., Benselin J; NIHR Nottingham Biomedical Research Centre, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust and the University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK., Grove JI; NIHR Nottingham Biomedical Research Centre, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust and the University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK., Pedergnana V; Laboratoire MIVEGEC (UMR CNRS 5290, UR IRD 224, UM), Montpellier, France., Azim Ansari M; Peter Medawar Building for Pathogen Research, Nuffield Department of Medicine and the Oxford NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford University, UK., Lin SK; Peter Medawar Building for Pathogen Research, Nuffield Department of Medicine and the Oxford NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford University, UK., McLauchlan J; MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, UK., Hutchinson SJ; School of Health and Life Sciences, Glasgow Caledonian University, Glasgow, UK.; Public Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK., Barnes E; Peter Medawar Building for Pathogen Research, Nuffield Department of Medicine and the Oxford NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford University, UK., Irving WL; NIHR Nottingham Biomedical Research Centre, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust and the University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK., Guha IN; NIHR Nottingham Biomedical Research Centre, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust and the University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
Jazyk: angličtina
Zdroj: Clinical and translational gastroenterology [Clin Transl Gastroenterol] 2022 Feb 09; Vol. 13 (3), pp. e00462. Date of Electronic Publication: 2022 Feb 09.
DOI: 10.14309/ctg.0000000000000462
Abstrakt: Introduction: Risk-stratifying patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) cirrhosis according to medium-term prognosis will inform clinical decision-making. It is unclear which biomarkers/models are optimal for this purpose. We quantified the discriminative ability of 14 diverse biomarkers for prognosis prediction over a 4-year time.
Methods: We recruited 1196 patients with HCV cirrhosis from the United Kingdom for a prospective study. Genetic risk score, collagen (e.g., PROC3), comorbidity (e.g., CirCom), and validated biomarkers from routine data were measured at enrollment. Participants were linked to UK hospital admission, cancer, and mortality registries. Primary endpoints were (i) liver-related outcomes for patients with compensated cirrhosis and (ii) all-cause mortality for decompensated cirrhosis. The discriminative ability of all biomarkers was quantified individually and also by the fraction of new prognostic information provided.
Results: At enrollment, 289 (24%) and 907 (76%) had decompensated and compensated cirrhosis, respectively. Participants were followed for 3-4 years on average, with >70% of the follow-up time occurring post-HCV cure. Seventy-five deaths in the decompensated subgroup and 98 liver-related outcomes in the compensated subgroup were reported. The discriminative ability of the albumin-bilirubin-fibrosis-4 index (C-index: 0.71-0.72) was superior to collagen biomarkers (C-index = 0.58-0.67), genetic risk scores (C-index = 0.50-0.57), and comorbidity markers (0.53-0.60). Validated biomarkers showed the greatest prognostic improvement when combined with a comorbidity or a collagen biomarker (generally >30% of new prognostic information added).
Discussion: Inexpensive biomarkers such as the albumin-bilirubin-fibrosis-4 index predict medium-term cirrhosis prognosis moderately well and outperform collagen, genetic, and comorbidity biomarkers. Improvement of performance was greatest when a validated test was combined with comorbidity or collagen biomarker.
(Copyright © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. on behalf of The American College of Gastroenterology.)
Databáze: MEDLINE