Exposure to the Views of Opposing Others with Latent Cognitive Differences Results in Social Influence—But Only When Those Differences Remain Obscured.

Autor: Guilbeault, Douglas¹ (AUTHOR) douglas.guilbeault@haas.berkeley.edu, van Loon, Austin² (AUTHOR) avanloon@stanford.edu, Lix, Katharina³ (AUTHOR) klix@stanford.edu, Goldberg, Amir⁴ (AUTHOR) amirgo@stanford.edu, Srivastava, Sameer B.¹ (AUTHOR) sameersriv@berkeley.edu

Publikováno v: Management Science. Oct2024, Vol. 70 Issue 10, p6669-6684. 16p.

Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration

Autor: Salganik, Matthew J., Lundberg, Ian, Kindel, Alexander T., Ahearn, Caitlin E., Al-Ghoneim, Khaled, Almaatouq, Abdullah, Altschul, Drew M., Brand, Jennie E., Carnegie, Nicole Bohme, Compton, Ryan James, Datta, Debanjan, Davidson, Thomas, Filippova, Anna, Gilroy, Connor, Goode, Brian J., Jahani, Eaman, Kashyap, Ridhi, Kirchner, Antje, McKay, Stephen, Morgan, Allison C., Pentland, Alex, Polimis, Kivan, Raes, Louis, Rigobon, Daniel E., Roberts, Claudia V., Stanescu, Diana M., Suhara, Yoshihiko, Usmania, Adaner, Wang, Erik H., Adem, Muna, Alhajri, Abdulla, AlShebli, Bedoor, Amin, Redwane, Amos, Ryan B., Argyle, Lisa P., Baer-Bositis, Livia, Büchi, Moritz, Chung, Bo-Ryehn, Eggert, William, Faletto, Gregory, Fan, Zhilin, Freese, Jeremy, Gadgil, Tejomay, Gagné, Josh, Gao, Yue, Halpern-Manners, Andrew, Hashim, Sonia P., Hausen, Sonia, He, Guanhua, Higuera, Kimberly, Hogan, Bernie, Horwitz, Ilana M., Hummel, Lisa M., Jain, Naman, Jin, Kun, Jurgens, David, Kaminski, Patrick, Karapetyan, Areg, Kim, E. H., Leizman, Ben, Liu, Naijia, Möser, Malte, Mack, Andrew E., Mahajan, Mayank, Mandell, Noah, Marahrens, Helge, Mercado-Garcia, Diana, Mocz, Viola, Mueller-Gastell, Katariina, Musse, Ahmed, Niu, Qiankun, Nowak, William, Omidvar, Hamidreza, Or, Andrew, Ouyang, Karen, Pinto, Katy M., Porter, Ethan, Porter, Kristin E., Qian, Crystal, Rauf, Tamkinat, Sargsyan, Anahit, Schaffner, Thomas, Schnabel, Landon, Schonfeld, Bryan, Sender, Ben, Tang, Jonathan D., Tsurkov, Emma, van Loon, Austin, Varol, Onur, Wang, Xiafei, Wang, Zhi, Wang, Julia, Wang, Flora, Weissman, Samantha, Whitaker, Kirstie, Wolters, Maria K., Woon, Wei Lee, Wu, James, Wu, Catherine, Yang, Kengran, Yin, Jingwen, Zhao, Bingyu, Zhu, Chenyun, Brooks-Gunn, Jeanne, Engelhardt, Barbara E., Hardt, Moritz, Knox, Dean, Levy, Karen, Narayanan, Arvind, Stewart, Brandon M., Watts, Duncan J., McLanahan, Sara

Publikováno v: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2020 Apr . 117(15), 8398-8403.

Externí odkaz: https://www.jstor.org/stable/26930891

Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change

Autor: Grossmann, Igor, Rotella, Amanda, Hutcherson, Cendri A., Sharpinskyi, Konstantyn, Varnum, Michael E. W., Achter, Sebastian, Dhami, Mandeep K., Guo, Xinqi Evie, Kara-Yakoubian, Mane, Mandel, David R., Raes, Louis, Tay, Louis, Vie, Aymeric, Wagner, Lisa, Adamkovic, Matus, Arami, Arash, Arriaga, Patrícia, Bandara, Kasun, Baník, Gabriel, Bartoš, František, Baskin, Ernest, Bergmeir, Christoph, Białek, Michał, Børsting, Caroline K., Browne, Dillon T., Caruso, Eugene M., Chen, Rong, Chie, Bin-Tzong, Chopik, William J., Collins, Robert N., Cong, Chin Wen, Conway, Lucian G., Davis, Matthew, Day, Martin V., Dhaliwal, Nathan A., Durham, Justin D., Dziekan, Martyna, Elbaek, Christian T., Shuman, Eric, Fabrykant, Marharyta, Firat, Mustafa, Fong, Geoffrey T., Frimer, Jeremy A., Gallegos, Jonathan M., Goldberg, Simon B., Gollwitzer, Anton, Goyal, Julia, Graf-Vlachy, Lorenz, Gronlund, Scott D., Hafenbrädl, Sebastian, Hartanto, Andree, Hirshberg, Matthew J., Hornsey, Matthew J., Howe, Piers D. L., Izadi, Anoosha, Jaeger, Bastian, Kačmár, Pavol, Kim, Yeun Joon, Krenzler, Ruslan, Lannin, Daniel G., Lin, Hung-Wen, Lou, Nigel Mantou, Lua, Verity Y. Q., Lukaszewski, Aaron W., Ly, Albert L., Madan, Christopher R., Maier, Maximilian, Majeed, Nadyanna M., March, David S., Marsh, Abigail A., Misiak, Michal, Myrseth, Kristian Ove R., Napan, Jaime M., Nicholas, Jonathan, Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, O, Jiaqing, Otterbring, Tobias, Paruzel-Czachura, Mariola, Pauer, Shiva, Protzko, John, Raffaelli, Quentin, Ropovik, Ivan, Ross, Robert M., Roth, Yefim, Røysamb, Espen, Schnabel, Landon, Schütz, Astrid, Seifert, Matthias, Sevincer, A. T., Sherman, Garrick T., Simonsson, Otto, Sung, Ming-Chien, Tai, Chung-Ching, Talhelm, Thomas, Teachman, Bethany A., Tetlock, Philip E., Thomakos, Dimitrios, Tse, Dwight C. K., Twardus, Oliver J., Tybur, Joshua M., Ungar, Lyle, Vandermeulen, Daan, Vaughan Williams, Leighton, Vosgerichian, Hrag A., Wang, Qi, Wang, Ke, Whiting, Mark E., Wollbrant, Conny E., Yang, Tao, Yogeeswaran, Kumar, Yoon, Sangsuk, Alves, Ventura R., Andrews-Hanna, Jessica R., Bloom, Paul A., Boyles, Anthony, Charis, Loo, Choi, Mingyeong, Darling-Hammond, Sean, Ferguson, Z. E., Kaiser, Cheryl R., Karg, Simon T., Ortega, Alberto López, Mahoney, Lori, Marsh, Melvin S., Martinie, Marcellin F. R. C., Michaels, Eli K., Millroth, Philip, Naqvi, Jeanean B., Ng, Weiting, Rutledge, Robb B., Slattery, Peter, Smiley, Adam H., Strijbis, Oliver, Sznycer, Daniel, Tsukayama, Eli, van Loon, Austin, Voelkel, Jan G., Wienk, Margaux N. A., Wilkening, Tom, Collaborative, The Forecasting

Publikováno v: Nature Human Behaviour, 7(4), 484-501. Springer Nature
Nature Human Behaviour, 7(4), 484-501. Nature Publishing Group
The Forecasting Collaborative 2023, ' Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change ', Nature Human Behaviour, vol. 7, no. 4, pp. 484-501 . https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-022-01517-1
Nature Human Behaviour, 7, 4, pp. 484-501
Nature Human Behaviour, 7, 484-501
Grossmann, I, Rotella, A, Hutcherson, C A, Sharpinskyi, K, Varnum, M E W, Achter, S, Dhami, M K, Guo, X E, Kara-Yakoubian, M, Mandel, D R, Raes, L, Tay, L, Vie, A, Wagner, L, Adamkovic, M, Arami, A, Arriaga, P, Bandara, K, Baník, G, Bartoš, F, Baskin, E, Bergmeir, C, Białek, M, Børsting, C K, Browne, D T, Caruso, E M, Chen, R, Chie, B-T, Chopik, W J, Collins, R N, Cong, C W, Conway, L G, Davis, M, Day, M V, Dhaliwal, N A, Durham, J D, Dziekan, M, Elbaek, C T, Shuman, E, Fabrykant, M, Firat, M, Fong, G T, Frimer, J A, Gallegos, J M, Goldberg, S B, Gollwitzer, A, Goyal, J, Graf-Vlachy, L, Gronlund, S D, Hafenbrädl, S, Hartanto, A, Hirshberg, M J, Hornsey, M J, Howe, P D L, Izadi, A, Jaeger, B, Kačmár, P, Kim, Y J, Krenzler, R, Lannin, D G, Lin, H-W, Lou, N M, Lua, V Y Q, Lukaszewski, A W, Ly, A L, Madan, C R, Maier, M, Majeed, N M, March, D S, Marsh, A A, Misiak, M, Myrseth, K O R, Napan, J M, Nicholas, J, Nikolopoulos, K, O, J, Otterbring, T, Paruzel-Czachura, M, Pauer, S, Protzko, J, Raffaelli, Q, Ropovik, I, Ross, R M, Roth, Y, Røysamb, E, Schnabel, L, Schütz, A, Seifert, M, Sevincer, A T, Sherman, G T, Simonsson, O, Sung, M-C, Tai, C-C, Talhelm, T, Teachman, B A, Tetlock, P E, Thomakos, D, Tse, D C K, Twardus, O J, Tybur, J M, Ungar, L, Vandermeulen, D, Vaughan Williams, L, Vosgerichian, H A, Wang, Q, Wang, K, Whiting, M E, Wollbrant, C E, Yang, T, Yogeeswaran, K, Yoon, S, Alves, V R, Andrews-Hanna, J R, Bloom, P A, Boyles, A, Charis, L, Choi, M, Darling-Hammond, S, Ferguson, Z E, Kaiser, C R, Karg, S T, Ortega, A L, Mahoney, L, Marsh, M S, Martinie, M F R C, Michaels, E K, Millroth, P, Naqvi, J B, Ng, W, Rutledge, R B, Slattery, P, Smiley, A H, Strijbis, O, Sznycer, D, Tsukayama, E, van Loon, A, Voelkel, J G, Wienk, M N A, Wilkening, T & Collaborative, T F 2023, ' Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change ', Nature Human Behaviour . https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-022-01517-1
Nature Human Behaviour

Item does not contain fulltext How well can social scientists predict societal change, and what processes underlie their predictions? To answer these questions, we ran two forecasting tournaments testing the accuracy of predictions of societal change

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::244019248dc51fd79b6a9c8a9cf2c369
https://research.vu.nl/en/publications/be5bcded-aad7-48ff-9bd5-6c4ccbd77202

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Differences Beyond Identity: Perceived Construal Distance and Interparty Animosity in the United States.

Autor: van Loon, Austin¹ avanloon@stanford.edu, Goldberg, Amir¹, Srivastava, Sameer B.²

Publikováno v: Working Papers (Faculty) - Stanford Graduate School of Business. Jul2020, p1-47. 48p.