Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 1 057
pro vyhledávání: '"subseasonal"'
Autor:
Chang‐Hyun Park, Seok‐Woo Son
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 13, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has a significant impact on the surface climate of East Asia by modulating the atmospheric circulation over the Kuroshio Extension. Here, we show that the ENSO–East Asia teleconnections are strong
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/4cf5a8a2563641fba591f954733d588b
Autor:
David M. Nebel, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Judah Cohen, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, Jian Rao, Chen Schwartz
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 16, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract Roughly one‐third of sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events lack a strong canonical surface response, and this can lead to a forecast bust if a strong response was predicted. Hence, it is desirable to predict before SSW onset if an even
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/2186013dffc242c090af36ec04b154d3
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 15, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and North Atlantic tripole sea surface temperature (SST_tri) are important modes in the atmosphere and ocean over the North Atlantic, respectively. The link between the two is well‐known. However, this
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/968d9aca0c544ed3ad775c5317c4e8bb
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 14, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract In early June 2023, New York City (NYC) and other cities in the northeastern US experienced a severe air pollution event. Although reports associated this hazardous pollution event with the smoke from Canadian wildfires, the factors triggeri
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/07bcc7c8b6f549f597ae67dc29e2d164
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 14, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract Atmospheric prediction at 2–6 weeks lead time (so‐called subseasonal‐to‐seasonal timescales) entails large forecast uncertainty. Here we investigate the flow‐dependence of this uncertainty during Boreal winter. We categorize the la
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/aca39538c90242c898c81014dd2b9f4c
Publikováno v:
Geoscience Letters, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-13 (2024)
Abstract Under the proposal of “seamless forecasting”, it has become a key problem for meteorologists to improve the skills of subseasonal forecasts. Since the launch of the subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) plan by WMO, the precision of model predic
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/b31ee16379ad4578abb9e53efa4bd823
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 10, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract Here we explore the relative contribution of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation (MJO) and El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) to midlatitude subseasonal predictive skill of upper atmospheric circulation over the North Pacific, using an inheren
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/45867afd71d34beb9e0ffc4e8927d3b0
Autor:
R. W. Lee, A. J. Charlton‐Perez
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 10, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract The stratosphere has previously been shown to be a significant source of subseasonal tropospheric predictability. The ability of ensemble prediction systems to appropriately exploit this depends on their ability to reproduce the statistical
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/666a01f249374b169046dd9c0c2074ed
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 10, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract Existing studies have shown changes in the impact of atmospheric teleconnections on Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) at interannual time scales due to the changing background state. However, the exploration of potential changes at subseasonal tim
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/748d08b5f8b5420e9ad828e3f3efe5b0
Publikováno v:
Water, Vol 16, Iss 14, p 2032 (2024)
Operational forecasters desire information about how their reservoir and riverine systems will evolve over monthly to seasonal timescales. Seasonal traces of hydrometeorological variables at a daily or sub-daily resolution are needed to drive hydrolo
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/47b82e1a19024f66beb66a3e1bd6dedb