Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 783
pro vyhledávání: '"seasonal forecast"'
Autor:
Mingyue Chen, Arun Kumar, Michelle L’Heureux, Peitao Peng, Tao Zhang, Martin P. Hoerling, Henry F. Diaz
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 14, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract We investigate why the North American Multi‐Model Ensemble (NMME) upper‐level height forecast for December–February (DJF) 2023/24 differs from the expected El Niño response. These atypical height anomalies emerged despite the fact a s
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/5ea12b3acd6b44049aed0cdd9b52255e
Publikováno v:
Gaoyuan qixiang, Vol 42, Iss 6, Pp 1576-1588 (2023)
In this paper， the hindcast precipitation fields of the NCEP's second-generation climate prediction system （CFSv2） and the observed precipitation data of 182 meteorological stations in Sichuan and Chongqing from 2000 to 2009 were utilized.Sub-s
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/ccae1206168a42bc81bf412ec62d289d
Autor:
Christine Nam, Laura Teresa Massano, Antonio Graca, Rossana Cotroneo, Alessandro Dell’Aquila, Federico Caboni
Publikováno v:
Climate Services, Vol 34, Iss , Pp 100456- (2024)
Viticulturists developing adaptation strategies to mitigate the impact of climate change, which affects a grapevine’s physiology and wine typicity, can benefit from climate services. Climate services translate physically based variables, such as te
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/9c88d557098a4bcf8438bcea37c2de12
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 6, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract As an update on the current NOAA/NCEP operational ocean reanalysis systems, a new system named GLobal Ocean Reanalysis (GLORe) is recently built up based on the JEDI‐SOCA 3DVar scheme. In this study, the quality of GLORe is assessed in ini
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/8838ab2009614dd8b29cec4b6a217e95
Autor:
Marcos Paulo Santos Pereira, Fabiana Couto, Vanúcia Schumacher, Fabrício Daniel dos Santos Silva, Helber Barros Gomes, Djane Fonseca da Silva, Heliofábio Barros Gomes, Rafaela Lisboa Costa, Flávio B. Justino, Dirceu Luís Herdies
Publikováno v:
Atmosphere, Vol 15, Iss 6, p 713 (2024)
Accurate regional seasonal forecasts of the rainy season are essential for the implementation of effective socioeconomic activities and policy. However, current characteristics of the period of occurrence of the rainy season in the Eastern Northeast
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/555168a78fe54eba8ab0dc65b65cce4d
Publikováno v:
Journal of Water and Climate Change, Vol 14, Iss 6, Pp 1868-1880 (2023)
A novel approach for qualitative seasonal forecast of precipitation at a basin scale is presented as significant enhancement in seasonal forecast at regional and country scales in India. The process utilizes empirical and typically lagged relationshi
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/0529c0730bd04b21b0e6d0502e42866d
Autor:
Neil Ward, Dean P. Walker, Richard J. Keane, John H. Marsham, Adam A. Scaife, Cathryn E. Birch, Ben Maybee
Publikováno v:
Atmospheric Science Letters, Vol 24, Iss 12, Pp n/a-n/a (2023)
Abstract East Africa is highly vulnerable to extreme weather events, such as droughts and floods. Skillful seasonal forecasts exist for the October–November–December short rains, enabling informed decisions, whereas seasonal forecasts for the Mar
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/5999cf1022e14b83999f2b6949d474b9
Autor:
Nicola Crippa, Manolis G. Grillakis, Athanasios Tsilimigkras, Guang Yang, Matteo Giuliani, Aristeidis G. Koutroulis
Publikováno v:
Climate Services, Vol 32, Iss , Pp 100406- (2023)
The increased seasonal demand for water puts pressure on Mediterranean water resources, which are often exploited in a non-renewable way. Besides, climate change can alter hydroclimatic patterns and exaggerate freshwater stress. Flexible operation of
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/e2c5e0101e764ea2a76688cb67394f63
Publikováno v:
Open Life Sciences, Vol 17, Iss 1, Pp 1398-1417 (2022)
Seasonal forecasts coupled with crop models can potentially enhance decision-making in smallholder farming in Africa. The study sought to inform future research through identifying and critiquing crop and climate models, and techniques for integratin
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/861e6b83ea4f46b8b71a298eae681e9a
Autor:
Ji-Han Sim, MinHo Kwon, Yeon-Soo Jang, Ha-Rim Kim, Ju Heon Kim, Gun-Hwan Yang, Jee-Hoon Jeong, Baek-Min Kim
Publikováno v:
Environmental Research Letters, Vol 19, Iss 7, p 074039 (2024)
Although the seasonal prediction skill of climate models has improved significantly in recent decades, the prediction skill of the Arctic Oscillation (AO), the dominant climate mode over the Northern Hemisphere, remains poor. Additionally, the local
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/aac302e7e9204b0ab1a953b89bee48ef