Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 976
pro vyhledávání: '"Wolfgang A. Müller"'
Publikováno v:
Communications Earth & Environment, Vol 4, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2023)
Abstract Extreme heat and drought typical of an end-of-century climate could soon occur over Europe, and repeatedly. Despite the European climate being potentially prone to multi-year successive extremes due to the influence of the North Atlantic var
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/5a17bdeb93dc4cb98e2196873d959526
Publikováno v:
Atmosphere, Vol 15, Iss 3, p 295 (2024)
We use hindcasts from a state-of-the-art decadal climate prediction system initialized between 1979 and 2017 to explore the predictability of the Antarctic dipole—that is, the seesaw between sea ice cover in the Weddell and Ross Seas, and discuss i
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/f126d3f42d6f4b7595047646b30162ac
Autor:
Goratz Beobide‐Arsuaga, André Düsterhus, Wolfgang A. Müller, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Johanna Baehr
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 50, Iss 2, Pp n/a-n/a (2023)
Abstract Different spring and early summer North Atlantic sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) have been shown to precede recent European summer heatwaves (EuSHWs). So far, the limited number of observed events associated with several physical m
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/0cd8d8e1da2e4d62a595f989425a61e3
Autor:
Doug M. Smith, Nathan P. Gillett, Isla R. Simpson, Panos J. Athanasiadis, Johanna Baehr, Ingo Bethke, Tarkan A. Bilge, Rémy Bonnet, Olivier Boucher, Kirsten L. Findell, Guillaume Gastineau, Silvio Gualdi, Leon Hermanson, L. Ruby Leung, Juliette Mignot, Wolfgang A. Müller, Scott Osprey, Odd Helge Otterå, Geeta G. Persad, Adam A. Scaife, Gavin A. Schmidt, Hideo Shiogama, Rowan T. Sutton, Didier Swingedouw, Shuting Yang, Tianjun Zhou, Tilo Ziehn
Publikováno v:
Frontiers in Climate, Vol 4 (2022)
Multi-annual to decadal changes in climate are accompanied by changes in extreme events that cause major impacts on society and severe challenges for adaptation. Early warnings of such changes are now potentially possible through operational decadal
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/c105c06136f345678b8ae3d3bbac69b9
Autor:
Thorsten Mauritsen, Jürgen Bader, Tobias Becker, Jörg Behrens, Matthias Bittner, Renate Brokopf, Victor Brovkin, Martin Claussen, Traute Crueger, Monika Esch, Irina Fast, Stephanie Fiedler, Dagmar Fläschner, Veronika Gayler, Marco Giorgetta, Daniel S. Goll, Helmuth Haak, Stefan Hagemann, Christopher Hedemann, Cathy Hohenegger, Tatiana Ilyina, Thomas Jahns, Diego Jimenéz‐de‐la‐Cuesta, Johann Jungclaus, Thomas Kleinen, Silvia Kloster, Daniela Kracher, Stefan Kinne, Deike Kleberg, Gitta Lasslop, Luis Kornblueh, Jochem Marotzke, Daniela Matei, Katharina Meraner, Uwe Mikolajewicz, Kameswarrao Modali, Benjamin Möbis, Wolfgang A. Müller, Julia E. M. S. Nabel, Christine C. W. Nam, Dirk Notz, Sarah‐Sylvia Nyawira, Hanna Paulsen, Karsten Peters, Robert Pincus, Holger Pohlmann, Julia Pongratz, Max Popp, Thomas Jürgen Raddatz, Sebastian Rast, Rene Redler, Christian H. Reick, Tim Rohrschneider, Vera Schemann, Hauke Schmidt, Reiner Schnur, Uwe Schulzweida, Katharina D. Six, Lukas Stein, Irene Stemmler, Bjorn Stevens, Jin‐Song vonStorch, Fangxing Tian, Aiko Voigt, Philipp Vrese, Karl‐Hermann Wieners, Stiig Wilkenskjeld, Alexander Winkler, Erich Roeckner
Publikováno v:
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Vol 11, Iss 4, Pp 998-1038 (2019)
Abstract A new release of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI‐ESM1.2) is presented. The development focused on correcting errors in and improving the physical processes representation, as well as improving t
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/0933f7e3611440809988d07078c822a0
Autor:
Iuliia Polkova, Sebastian Brune, Christopher Kadow, Vanya Romanova, Gereon Gollan, Johanna Baehr, Rita Glowienka‐Hense, Richard J. Greatbatch, Andreas Hense, Sebastian Illing, Armin Köhl, Jürgen Kröger, Wolfgang A. Müller, Klaus Pankatz, Detlef Stammer
Publikováno v:
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 149-172 (2019)
Abstract Five initialization and ensemble generation methods are investigated with respect to their impact on the prediction skill of the German decadal prediction system “Mittelfristige Klimaprognose” (MiKlip). Among the tested methods, three ta
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/ff7b729bc3974e2b97c0a407cb98e42d
Publikováno v:
Meteorologische Zeitschrift, Vol 25, Iss 6, Pp 645-655 (2016)
Retrospective prediction experiments have to be performed to estimate the skill of decadal prediction systems. These are necessarily restricted in the number due to the computational constraints. From weather and seasonal prediction it is known that
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/76e39b1469fb46dc9978c1b3371b4049
Autor:
Christopher Kadow, Sebastian Illing, Oliver Kunst, Henning W. Rust, Holger Pohlmann, Wolfgang A. Müller, Ulrich Cubasch
Publikováno v:
Meteorologische Zeitschrift, Vol 25, Iss 6, Pp 631-643 (2016)
We present the evaluation of temperature and precipitation forecasts obtained with the MiKlip decadal climate prediction system. These decadal hindcast experiments are verified with respect to the accuracy of the ensemble mean and the ensemble spread
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/b44c658620df4dd8a64f9d5e4e396596
Autor:
Margit Pattantyús-Ábrahám, Christopher Kadow, Sebastian Illing, Wolfgang A. Müller, Holger Pohlmann, Wolfgang Steinbrecht
Publikováno v:
Meteorologische Zeitschrift, Vol 25, Iss 6, Pp 709-720 (2016)
Quality controlled and homogenized radiosonde observations have been used to validate decadal hindcasts of the MPI-Earth-System-Model for Europe (excl. some Eastern European countries). Simulated temperatures have a cold bias of 1 to 4 K, increasing
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/9ce3b6a0973641a0992bbd5b808e90d2
Autor:
Tim Kruschke, Henning W. Rust, Christopher Kadow, Wolfgang A. Müller, Holger Pohlmann, Gregor C. Leckebusch, Uwe Ulbrich
Publikováno v:
Meteorologische Zeitschrift, Vol 25, Iss 6, Pp 721-738 (2016)
Winter wind storms related to intense extra-tropical cyclones are meteorological extreme events, often with major impacts on economy and human life, especially for Europe and the mid-latitudes. Hence, skillful decadal predictions regarding the freque
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/2754b8eb4d3449bba4379f6233f8e79f