Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 736
pro vyhledávání: '"Weisheimer, A"'
Autor:
Nicholas J. Leach, Christopher D. Roberts, Matthias Aengenheyster, Daniel Heathcote, Dann M. Mitchell, Vikki Thompson, Tim Palmer, Antje Weisheimer, Myles R. Allen
Publikováno v:
Nature Communications, Vol 15, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2024)
Abstract The 2021 Pacific Northwest heatwave was so extreme as to challenge conventional statistical and climate-model-based approaches to extreme weather attribution. However, state-of-the-art operational weather prediction systems are demonstrably
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/1d69bb4b4f844d15b3d2075161228365
This study assesses the ability of six European seasonal forecast models to simulate the observed teleconnection between ENSO and tropical cyclones (TCs) over the North Atlantic. While the models generally capture the basin-wide observed link, its ma
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2212.11422
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 15, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract The wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and East Atlantic Pattern (EA) are the two leading modes of North Atlantic pressure variability and have a substantial impact on winter weather in Europe. The year‐to‐year contributions to
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/8d9854a14094462c95a998560fd5292a
Autor:
Christopher H. O’Reilly, Lukas Brunner, Saïd Qasmi, Rita Nogherotto, Andrew P. Ballinger, Ben Booth, Daniel J. Befort, Reto Knutti, Andrew P. Schurer, Aurélien Ribes, Antje Weisheimer, Erika Coppola, Carol McSweeney
Publikováno v:
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-14 (2024)
Abstract Observations are increasingly used to constrain multi-model projections for future climate assessments. This study assesses the performance of five constraining methods, which have previously been applied to attempt to improve regional clima
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/052a96084ac6494e8a31270c9eb8bc5e
The standard approach when studying atmospheric circulation regimes and their dynamics is to use a hard regime assignment, where each atmospheric state is assigned to the regime it is closest to in distance. However, this may not always be the most a
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2206.11576
Publikováno v:
Meteorological Applications, Vol 31, Iss 4, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract Dengue fever is a source of substantial health burden in Vietnam. Given the well‐established influence of temperature and precipitation on vector biology and disease transmission, predictions of meteorological variables, such as those issu
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/8ae7c538c06b48878200715947f2dd23
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 12, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract Seasonal hindcasts have previously been demonstrated to show multi‐decadal variability in skill across the twentieth century in indices describing El‐Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which drives global seasonal predictability. Here, w
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/eb144fa2d7eb413fa8ebcff89d4c997f
Publikováno v:
Weather and Climate Dynamics, Vol 4, Pp 701-723 (2023)
Much of the forecast skill in the mid-latitudes on seasonal timescales originates from deep convection in the tropical belt. For boreal summer, such tropical–extratropical teleconnections are less well understood compared to winter. Here we validat
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/5712852205634b5f9347cb6c2368df59
Autor:
Lysakowski, Simone, Weisheimer Rohde, Roberta, Pascual Vitola, Santo, Silva Pires, Fabian, Carla de Souza, Vandrea, Enrico Ventura, Pedro, Kist, Roger, Druck Garcia, Clotilde
Publikováno v:
In Jornal de Pediatria January-February 2024 100(1):67-73
We quantify the value of sub-seasonal forecasts for a real-world prediction problem: the forecasting of French month-ahead energy demand. Using surface temperature as a predictor, we construct a trading strategy and assess the financial value of usin
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2002.01728