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Insights into accuracy of social scientists' forecasts of societal change

Autor: Grossmann, I., Rotella, A., Hutcherson, C., Sharpinskyi, K., Varnum, M., Achter, S., Dhami, M., Guo, X., Kara-Yakoubian, M., Mandel, D., Raes, L., Tay, L., Vie, A., Wagner, L., Adamkovic, M., Arami, A., Arriaga, P., Bandara, K., Baník, G., Bartoš, F., Baskin, E., Bergmeir, C., Białek, M., Børsting, C., Browne, D., Caruso, E., Chen, R., Chie, B., Chopik, W., Collins, R., Cong, C., Conway, L., Davis, M., Day, M., Dhaliwal, N., Durham, J., Dziekan, M., Elbaek, C., Shuman, E., Fabrykant, M., Firat, M., Fong, G., Frimer, J., Gallegos, J., Goldberg, S., Gollwitzer, A., https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0067-0018, Goyal, J., Graf-Vlachy, L., Gronlund, S., Hafenbrädl, S., Hartanto, A., Hirshberg, M., Hornsey, M., Howe, P., Izadi, A., Jaeger, B., Kačmár, P., Kim, Y., Krenzler, R., Lannin, D., Lin, H., Lou, N., Lua, V., Lukaszewski, A., Ly, A., Madan, C., Maier, M., Majeed, N., March, D., Marsh, A., Misiak, M., Myrseth, K., Napan, J., Nicholas, J., Nikolopoulos, K., O, J., Otterbring, T., Paruzel-Czachura, M., Pauer, S., Protzko, J., Raffaelli, Q., Ropovik, I., Ross, R., Roth, Y., Røysamb, E., Schnabel, L., Schütz, A., Seifert, M., Sevincer, A., Sherman, G., Simonsson, O., Sung, M., Tai, C., Talhelm, T., Teachman, B., Tetlock, P., Thomakos, D., Tse, D., Twardus, O., Tybur, J., Ungar, L., Vandermeulen, D., Williams, L., Vosgerichian, H., Wang, Q., Wang, K., Whiting, M., Wollbrant, C., Yang, T., Yogeeswaran, K., Yoon, S., Alves, V., Andrews-Hanna, J., Bloom, P., Boyles, A., Charis, L., Choi, M., Darling-Hammond, S., Ferguson, Z., Kaiser, C., Karg, S., Ortega, A., Mahoney, L., Marsh, M., Martinie, M., Michaels, E., Millroth, P., Naqvi, J., Ng, W., Rutledge, R., Slattery, P., Smiley, A., Strijbis, O., Sznycer, D., Tsukayama, E., van Loon, A., Voelkel, J., Wienk, M., Wilkening, T., The Forecasting Collaborative

Publikováno v: PsyArXiv

How well can social scientists predict societal change, and what processes underlie their predictions? To answer these questions, we ran two forecasting tournaments testing accuracy of predictions of societal change in domains commonly studied in the

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::e5ca721dd646c84d04f5207a64f9408b
https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-000B-18EF-E21.11116/0000-000B-18ED-0

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The Dependence of the Shape and Stability of Captive Rotating Drops on Multiple Parameters

Autor: Ungar, L. H., Brown, R. A.

Publikováno v: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series A, Mathematical and Physical Sciences, 1982 Aug . 306(1493), 347-370.

Externí odkaz: https://www.jstor.org/stable/37299

The internet and participation inequality : a multilevel examination of 108 countries

Autor: Ahmed, S., Cho, J., Kokil Jaidka, Eichstaedt, J. C., Ungar, L. H.

Publikováno v: Scopus-Elsevier

This study investigates the role of the Internet in civic participation inequality across 108 countries. Merging individual-level survey data from the 2016 Gallup World Poll with country-level indices, we conduct multilevel analyses to answer three b

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=dedup_wf_001::2d7536c7d7f711e2cb2ba90ad399dc1e
https://ijoc.org/index.php/ijoc/article/view/11314