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pro vyhledávání: '"Ulrich Goluke"'
Autor:
Jorgen Randers, Johan Rockström, Per-Espen Stoknes, Ulrich Goluke, David Collste, Sarah E. Cornell, Jonathan Donges
Publikováno v:
Global Sustainability, Vol 2 (2019)
The world agreed to achieve 17 Sustainable Development Goals by 2030. Nine planetary boundaries set an upper limit to Earth system impacts of human activity in the long run. Conventional efforts to achieve the 14 socio-economic goals will raise press
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/214c155ac00f44f3aa4ccfd78cda1c34
Autor:
Jorgen Randers, Ulrich Goluke
Publikováno v:
Scientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-1 (2021)
An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper.
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/7f743367ec28492fb37c745071e311cb
Autor:
Ulrich Goluke, Jørgen Randers
Publikováno v:
Scientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-1 (2021)
An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper.
Reduced complexity model intercomparison project phase 1: Protocol, results and initial observations
Autor:
Alexey N. Shiklomanov, Thomas Gasser, Davide Marchegiani, Dietmar Dommenget, Robert Gieseke, Philip Goodwin, Yann Quilcaille, Kalyn Dorheim, Zhiang Xie, Chen-Shuo Fan, Ulrich Goluke, Elmar Kriegler, Ragnhild Bieltvedt Skeie, Nicholas J. Leach, Christopher J. Smith, Jared Lewis, Jan S. Fuglestvedt, Bjørn Hallvard Samset, Marit Sandstad, Malte Meinshausen, Junichi Tsutsui, Katsumasa Tanaka, Zebedee Nicholls
Here we present results from the first phase of the Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project (RCMIP). RCMIP is a systematic examination of reduced complexity climate models (RCMs), which are used to complement and extend the insights from mor
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::d5f6d0d72db311f9961e3d67de6d8cca
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2019-375
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2019-375
Autor:
Jorgen Randers, Ulrich Goluke
Humanity may have passed its first climate tipping point and face self-sustained melting of the permafrost for hundreds of years even if all man-made GHG emissions are stopped.
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::f4944f4d4e22f8ef9a458c77221b2248
https://eartharxiv.org/ptse2
https://eartharxiv.org/ptse2
Autor:
Ulrich Goluke, Jørgen Randers
Publikováno v:
Scientific Reports
Scientific Reports, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2020)
Scientific Reports, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2020)
The risk of points-of-no-return, which, once surpassed lock the world into new dynamics, have been discussed for decades. Recently, there have been warnings that some of these tipping points are coming closer and are too dangerous to be disregarded.
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::40144bfeb24392c1aa72987468070b92
https://hdl.handle.net/11250/2976259
https://hdl.handle.net/11250/2976259
Autor:
David Collste, Sarah Cornell, Johan Rockström, Jørgen Randers, Jonathan F. Donges, Ulrich Goluke, Per Espen Stoknes
Publikováno v:
Global Sustainability
Near-term gains on socio-economic goals under the 2030 Agenda could reduce the Earth system ‘safety margin’ represented by the nine planetary boundaries. We built an intentionally simple global systems simulation model, Earth3, that combines a so
Autor:
Jørgen Randers, Ulrich Goluke
Publikováno v:
System Dynamics Review. 23:253-284
We argue that it is possible to explain much of the history of the world’s shipping markets since 1950 as the interaction of two balancing feedback loops: a capacity adjustment loop which creates a roughly 20-year wave, and a capacity utilization a
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