Interpretability of Epidemiological Models : The Curse of Non-Identifiability

Autor: Deva, Ayush, Shingi, Siddhant, Tiwari, Avtansh, Bannur, Nayana, Jain, Sansiddh, White, Jerome, Raval, Alpan, Merugu, Srujana

Interpretability of epidemiological models is a key consideration, especially when these models are used in a public health setting. Interpretability is strongly linked to the identifiability of the underlying model parameters, i.e., the ability to e

Externí odkaz: http://arxiv.org/abs/2104.14821

Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States

Autor: Cramer, Estee Y, Ray, Evan L, Lopez, Velma K, Bracher, Johannes, Brennen, Andrea, Castro Rivadeneira, Alvaro J, Gerding, Aaron, Gneiting, Tilmann, House, Katie H, Huang, Yuxin, Jayawardena, Dasuni, Kanji, Abdul H, Khandelwal, Ayush, Le, Khoa, Mühlemann, Anja, Niemi, Jarad, Shah, Apurv, Stark, Ariane, Wang, Yijin, Wattanachit, Nutcha, Zorn, Martha W, Gu, Youyang, Jain, Sansiddh, Bannur, Nayana, Deva, Ayush, Kulkarni, Mihir, Merugu, Srujana, Raval, Alpan, Shingi, Siddhant, Tiwari, Avtansh, White, Jerome, Abernethy, Neil F, Woody, Spencer, Dahan, Maytal, Fox, Spencer, Gaither, Kelly, Lachmann, Michael, Meyers, Lauren Ancel, Scott, James G, Tec, Mauricio, Srivastava, Ajitesh, George, Glover E, Cegan, Jeffrey C, Dettwiller, Ian D, England, William P, Farthing, Matthew W, Hunter, Robert H, Lafferty, Brandon, Linkov, Igor, Mayo, Michael L, Parno, Matthew D, Rowland, Michael A, Trump, Benjamin D, Zhang-James, Yanli, Chen, Samuel, Faraone, Stephen V, Hess, Jonathan, Morley, Christopher P, Salekin, Asif, Wang, Dongliang, Corsetti, Sabrina M, Baer, Thomas M, Eisenberg, Marisa C, Falb, Karl, Huang, Yitao, Martin, Emily T, McCauley, Ella, Myers, Robert L, Schwarz, Tom, Sheldon, Daniel, Gibson, Graham Casey, Yu, Rose, Gao, Liyao, Ma, Yian, Wu, Dongxia, Yan, Xifeng, Jin, Xiaoyong, Wang, Yu-Xiang, Chen, YangQuan, Guo, Lihong, Zhao, Yanting, Gu, Quanquan, Chen, Jinghui, Wang, Lingxiao, Xu, Pan, Zhang, Weitong, Zou, Difan, Biegel, Hannah, Lega, Joceline, McConnell, Steve, Nagraj, VP, Guertin, Stephanie L, Hulme-Lowe, Christopher, Turner, Stephen D, Shi, Yunfeng, Ban, Xuegang, Walraven, Robert, Hong, Qi-Jun, Kong, Stanley, van de Walle, Axel

Publikováno v: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, vol 119, iss 15

Short-term probabilistic forecasts of the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States have served as a visible and important communication channel between the scientific modeling community and both the general public and decision-makers.

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=od_______325::331f4bf9e003fcfd485d95be5a5ad402
https://escholarship.org/uc/item/8z24j3h6

The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset

Autor: US COVID-19 Forecast Hub Consortium, Cramer, Estee Y., Huang, Yuxin, Wang, Yijin, Ray, Evan L., Cornell, Matthew, Bracher, Johannes, Brennen, Andrea, Rivadeneira, Alvaro J. Castro, Gerding, Aaron, House, Katie, Jayawardena, Dasuni, Kanji, Abdul Hannan, Khandelwal, Ayush, Le, Khoa, Mody, Vidhi, Mody, Vrushti, Niemi, Jarad, Stark, Ariane, Shah, Apurv, Wattanchit, Nutcha, Zorn, Martha W., Reich, Nicholas G., Gneiting, Tilmann, Mühlemann, Anja, Gu, Youyang, Chen, Yixian, Chintanippu, Krishna, Jivane, Viresh, Khurana, Ankita, Kumar, Ajay, Lakhani, Anshul, Mehrotra, Prakhar, Pasumarty, Sujitha, Shrivastav, Monika, You, Jialu, Bannur, Nayana, Deva, Ayush, Jain, Sansiddh, Kulkarni, Mihir, Merugu, Srujana, Raval, Alpan, Shingi, Siddhant, Tiwari, Avtansh, White, Jerome, Adiga, Aniruddha, Hurt, Benjamin, Lewis, Bryan, Marathe, Madhav, Peddireddy, Akhil Sai, Porebski, Przemyslaw, Venkatramanan, Srinivasan, Wang, Lijing, Dahan, Maytal, Fox, Spencer, Gaither, Kelly, Lachmann, Michael, Meyers, Lauren Ancel, Scott, James G., Tec, Mauricio, Woody, Spencer, Srivastava, Ajitesh, Xu, Tianjian, Cegan, Jeffrey C., Dettwiller, Ian D., England, William P., Farthing, Matthew W., George, Glover E., Hunter, Robert H., Lafferty, Brandon, Linkov, Igor, Mayo, Michael L., Parno, Matthew D., Rowland, Michael A., Trump, Benjamin D., Chen, Samuel, Faraone, Stephen V., Hess, Jonathan, Morley, Christopher P., Salekin, Asif, Wang, Dongliang, Zhang-James, Yanli, Baer, Thomas M., Corsetti, Sabrina M., Eisenberg, Marisa C., Falb, Karl, Huang, Yitao, Martin, Emily T., McCauley, Ella, Myers, Robert L., Schwarz, Tom, Gibson, Graham Casey, Sheldon, Daniel, Gao, Liyao, Ma, Yian, Wu, Dongxia, Yu, Rose, Jin, Xiaoyong, Wang, Yu-Xiang, Yan, Xifeng, Chen, YangQuan, Guo, Lihong, Zhao, Yanting, Chen, Jinghui, Gu, Quanquan, Wang, Lingxiao, Xu, Pan, Zhang, Weitong, Zou, Difan, Chattopadhyay, Ishanu, Huang, Yi, Lu, Guoqing, Pfeiffer, Ruth, Sumner, Timothy, Wang, Dongdong, Wang, Liqiang, Zhang, Shunpu, Zou, Zihang, Biegel, Hannah, Lega, Joceline, Hussain, Fazle, Khan, Zeina, Van Bussel, Frank, McConnell, Steve, Guertin, Stephanie L., Hulme-Lowe, Christopher, Nagraj, V. P., Turner, Stephen D., Bejar, Benjamín, Choirat, Christine, Flahault, Antoine, Krymova, Ekaterina, Lee, Gavin, Manetti, Elisa, Namigai, Kristen, Obozinski, Guillaume, Sun, Tao, Thanou, Dorina, Ban, Xuegang, Shi, Yunfeng, Walraven, Robert, Hong, Qi-Jun, Van De Walle, Axel, Ben-Nun, Michal, Riley, Steven, Riley, Pete, Turtle, James, Cao, Duy, Galasso, Joseph, Cho, Jae H., Jo, Areum, DesRoches, David, Forli, Pedro, Hamory, Bruce, Koyluoglu, Ugur, Kyriakides, Christina, Leis, Helen, Milliken, John, Moloney, Michael, Morgan, James, Nirgudkar, Ninad, Ozcan, Gokce, Piwonka, Noah, Ravi, Matt, Schrader, Chris, Shakhnovich, Elizabeth, Siegel, Daniel, Spatz, Ryan, Stiefeling, Chris, Wilkinson, Barrie, Wong, Alexander, Cavany, Sean, España, Guido, Moore, Sean, Oidtman, Rachel, Perkins, Alex, Ivy, Julie S., Mayorga, Maria E., Mele, Jessica, Rosenstrom, Erik T., Swann, Julie L., Kraus, Andrea, Kraus, David, Bian, Jiang, Cao, Wei, Gao, Zhifeng, Ferres, Juan Lavista, Li, Chaozhuo, Liu, Tie-Yan, Xie, Xing, Zhang, Shun, Zheng, Shun, Chinazzi, Matteo, Vespignani, Alessandro, Xiong, Xinyue, Davis, Jessica T., Mu, Kunpeng, Piontti, Ana Pastore Y, Baek, Jackie, Farias, Vivek, Georgescu, Andreea, Levi, Retsef, Sinha, Deeksha, Wilde, Joshua, Zheng, Andrew, Lami, Omar Skali, Bennouna, Amine, Ndong, David Nze, Perakis, Georgia, Singhvi, Divya, Spantidakis, Ioannis, Thayaparan, Leann, Tsiourvas, Asterios, Weisberg, Shane, Jadbabaie, Ali, Sarker, Arnab, Shah, Devavrat, Celi, Leo A., Penna, Nicolas D., Sundar, Saketh, Berlin, Abraham, Gandhi, Parth D., McAndrew, Thomas, Piriya, Matthew, Chen, Ye, Hlavacek, William, Lin, Yen Ting, Mallela, Abhishek, Miller, Ely, Neumann, Jacob, Posner, Richard, Wolfinger, Russ, Castro, Lauren, Fairchild, Geoffrey, Michaud, Isaac, Osthus, Dave, Wolffram, Daniel, Karlen, Dean, Panaggio, Mark J., Kinsey, Matt, Mullany, Luke C., Rainwater-Lovett, Kaitlin, Shin, Lauren, Tallaksen, Katharine, Wilson, Shelby, Brenner, Michael, Coram, Marc, Edwards, Jessie K., Joshi, Keya, Klein, Ellen, Hulse, Juan Dent, Grantz, Kyra H., Hill, Alison L., Kaminsky, Kathryn, Kaminsky, Joshua, Keegan, Lindsay T., Lauer, Stephen A., Lee, Elizabeth C., Lemaitre, Joseph C., Lessler, Justin, Meredith, Hannah R., Perez-Saez, Javier, Shah, Sam, Smith, Claire P., Truelove, Shaun A., Wills, Josh, Gardner, Lauren, Marshall, Maximilian, Nixon, Kristen, Burant, John C., Budzinski, Jozef, Chiang, Wen-Hao, Mohler, George, Gao, Junyi, Glass, Lucas, Qian, Cheng, Romberg, Justin, Sharma, Rakshith, Spaeder, Jeffrey, Sun, Jimeng, Xiao, Cao, Gao, Lei, Gu, Zhiling, Kim, Myungjin, Li, Xinyi, Wang, Yueying, Wang, Guannan, Wang, Lily, Yu, Shan, Jain, Chaman, Bhatia, Sangeeta, Nouvellet, Pierre, Barber, Ryan, Gaikedu, Emmanuela, Hay, Simon, Lim, Steve, Murray, Chris, Pigott, David, Reiner, Robert C., Baccam, Prasith, Gurung, Heidi L., Stage, Steven A., Suchoski, Bradley T., Fong, Chung-Yan, Yeung, Dit-Yan, Adhikari, Bijaya, Cui, Jiaming, Prakash, B. Aditya, Rodríguez, Alexander, Tabassum, Anika, Xie, Jiajia, Asplund, John, Baxter, Arden, Keskinocak, Pinar, Oruc, Buse Eylul, Serban, Nicoleta, Arik, Sercan O., Dusenberry, Mike, Epshteyn, Arkady, Kanal, Elli, Le, Long T., Li, Chun-Liang, Pfister, Tomas, Sinha, Rajarishi, Tsai, Thomas, Yoder, Nate, Yoon, Jinsung, Zhang, Leyou, Wilson, Daniel, Belov, Artur A., Chow, Carson C., Gerkin, Richard C., Yogurtcu, Osman N., Ibrahim, Mark, Lacroix, Timothee, Le, Matthew, Liao, Jason, Nickel, Maximilian, Sagun, Levent, Abbott, Sam, Bosse, Nikos I., Funk, Sebastian, Hellewell, Joel, Meakin, Sophie R., Sherratt, Katharine, Kalantari, Rahi, Zhou, Mingyuan, Karimzadeh, Morteza, Lucas, Benjamin, Ngo, Thoai, Zoraghein, Hamidreza, Vahedi, Behzad, Wang, Zhongying, Pei, Sen, Shaman, Jeffrey, Yamana, Teresa K., Bertsimas, Dimitris, Li, Michael L., Soni, Saksham, Bouardi, Hamza Tazi, Adee, Madeline, Ayer, Turgay, Chhatwal, Jagpreet, Dalgic, Ozden O., Ladd, Mary A., Linas, Benjamin P., Mueller, Peter, Xiao, Jade, Bosch, Jurgen, Wilson, Austin, Zimmerman, Peter, Wang, Qinxia, Wang, Yuanjia, Xie, Shanghong, Zeng, Donglin, Bien, Jacob, Brooks, Logan, Green, Alden, Hu, Addison J., Jahja, Maria, McDonald, Daniel, Narasimhan, Balasubramanian, Politsch, Collin, Rajanala, Samyak, Rumack, Aaron, Simon, Noah, Tibshirani, Ryan J., Tibshirani, Rob, Ventura, Valerie, Wasserman, Larry, Drake, John M., O’Dea, Eamon B., Abu-Mostafa, Yaser, Bathwal, Rahil, Chang, Nicholas A., Chitta, Pavan, Erickson, Anne, Goel, Sumit, Gowda, Jethin, Jin, Qixuan, Jo, HyeongChan, Kim, Juhyun, Kulkarni, Pranav, Lushtak, Samuel M., Mann, Ethan, Popken, Max, Soohoo, Connor, Tirumala, Kushal, Tseng, Albert, Varadarajan, Vignesh, Vytheeswaran, Jagath, Wang, Christopher, Yeluri, Akshay, Yurk, Dominic, Zhang, Michael, Zlokapa, Alexander, Pagano, Robert, Jain, Chandini, Tomar, Vishal, Ho, Lam, Huynh, Huong, Tran, Quoc, Lopez, Velma K., Walker, Jo W., Slayton, Rachel B., Johansson, Michael A., Biggerstaff, Matthew

Publikováno v: Scientific Data, 9 (1), Art.-Nr.: 462

Academic researchers, government agencies, industry groups, and individuals have produced forecasts at an unprecedented scale during the COVID-19 pandemic. To leverage these forecasts, the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::ad288dbd0034de321da3b22c4c3a895b
https://publikationen.bibliothek.kit.edu/1000150017/149174224