Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 47
pro vyhledávání: '"Steven L. Mullen"'
Publikováno v:
Monthly Weather Review. 138:863-885
Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are a dominant climatological feature of the central United States and are responsible for a substantial fraction of warm-season rainfall. Yet very little is known about the predictability of MCSs. To help address
Publikováno v:
Journal of Climate. 22:4213-4227
Relationships between transient upper-tropospheric troughs and warm season convective activity over the southwest United States and northern Mexico are explored. Analysis of geopotential height and vorticity fields from the North American Regional Re
Publikováno v:
Weather and Forecasting. 23:773-785
Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are a dominant climatological feature of the central United States and are responsible for a substantial fraction of warm season rainfall. Yet very little is known about the predictability of MCSs. To help alleviat
Autor:
Hann-Ming Henry Juang, Soroosh Sorooshian, Huiling Yuan, Jun Du, Xiaogang Gao, Steven L. Mullen
Publikováno v:
Weather and Forecasting. 22:1287-1303
A feed-forward neural network is configured to calibrate the bias of a high-resolution probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecast (PQPF) produced by a 12-km version of the NCEP Regional Spectral Model (RSM) ensemble forecast system. Twice-dail
Autor:
Hann-Ming Henry Juang, Xiaogang Gao, Steven L. Mullen, Huiling Yuan, Jun Du, Soroosh Sorooshian
Publikováno v:
Monthly Weather Review. 135:1685-1698
The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Regional Spectral Model (RSM) is used to produce twice-daily (0000 and 1200 UTC), high-resolution ensemble forecasts to 24 h. The forecasts are performed at an equivalent horizontal grid spacin
Publikováno v:
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 87:33-46
A “reforecast” (retrospective forecast) dataset has been developed. This dataset is comprised of a 15-member ensemble run out to a 2-week lead. Forecasts have been run every day from 0000 UTC initial conditions from 1979 to the present. The model
Publikováno v:
Weather and Forecasting. 20:609-626
Short-range ensemble forecasting is extended to a critical winter weather problem: forecasting precipitation type. Forecast soundings from the operational NCEP Short-Range Ensemble Forecast system are combined with five precipitation-type algorithms
Autor:
David R. Bright, Steven L. Mullen
Publikováno v:
Weather and Forecasting. 17:1080-1100
The skill and potential value of fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University–National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale Model (MM5) ensembles are evaluated for short-range (24 h) probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts over Ar
Autor:
Roberto Buizza, Steven L. Mullen
Publikováno v:
Weather and Forecasting. 17:173-191
The effect of horizontal resolution and ensemble size on the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) is assessed for probabilistic forecasts of 24-h accumulated precipitation. Two sets of experiments are analyzed. The primary experiment compares two s
Autor:
David R. Bright, Steven L. Mullen
Publikováno v:
Weather and Forecasting. 17:99-114
Summertime convection over Arizona typically begins in the early afternoon and continues into the night. This suggests that the evolution of the daytime planetary boundary layer is important to the development of Arizona convection. If numerical mode