Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 12
pro vyhledávání: '"Sinem Hacioglu-Hoke"'
Publikováno v:
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. 84:380-400
We develop a daily composite index of financial stress for the United Kingdom over 50 years, the UKFSI. The index includes market stress indicators based on their incremental information to capture financial crises. During the COVID-19 crisis, financ
Autor:
Sinem Hacioglu Hoke, George Kapetanios
Publikováno v:
Journal of Applied Econometrics. 36:125-150
This paper provides an approach to estimation and inference for nonlinear conditional mean panel data models, in the presence of cross‐sectional dependence. We modify Pesaran's (Econometrica, 2006, 74(4), 967–1012) common correlated effects corre
Autor:
Sinem Hacioglu Hoke
Publikováno v:
SSRN Electronic Journal.
We investigate the macroeconomic effects of political risk in an information-rich SVAR. Using an external instrument based on an index of US partisan conflict for identification, we find that reduced political risk has expansionary impact: it is imme
Publikováno v:
SSRN Electronic Journal.
We exploit information in a new dataset of monthly patent applications to construct an instrumental variable for the identification of technology news shocks that relaxes all the identifying assumptions traditionally used in the literature. Our sole
Publikováno v:
SSRN Electronic Journal.
How can macroeconomic tail risks originating from financial vulnerabilities be monitored systematically over time? This question lies at the heart of operationalising the macroprudential policy regimes that have developed around the world in response
Autor:
Sinem Hacioglu Hoke, Matei Demetrescu
Publikováno v:
SSRN Electronic Journal.
This paper discusses the specifics of forecasting using factor-augmented predictive regressions under general loss functions. In line with the literature, we employ principal component analysis to extract factors from the set of predictors. In additi
Autor:
George Kapetanios, Sinem Hacioglu Hoke
Publikováno v:
SSRN Electronic Journal.
This paper provides an approach to estimation and inference for non-linear conditional mean panel data models, in the presence of cross-sectional dependence. We modify the common correlated effects (CCE) correction of Pesaran (2006) to filter out the
Publikováno v:
SSRN Electronic Journal.
We study the interaction between solvency and funding costs at UK banks. We use the market-based leverage ratio as a proxy for market participants’ perceptions of bank solvency. We investigate the impact that changes in this ratio have on banks’
Publikováno v:
SSRN Electronic Journal.
In this paper we develop an index to monitor the intensity of financial stress in the UK over a period of 45 years. By aggregating various market-based indicators of financial stress from six major markets, we allow each indicator to be assessed in t
Autor:
Sinem Hacioglu Hoke, Ching-Wai Chiu
Publikováno v:
SSRN Electronic Journal.
Motivated by the desire to probe macroeconomic tail events and to capture non-linear economic dynamics, we estimate two types of regime switching models: threshold VAR and Markov switching VAR. For each of the models, we estimate regimes which carry