Global hydrological models continue to overestimate river discharge

Autor: Stefanie Heinicke, Jan Volkholz, Jacob Schewe, Simon N Gosling, Hannes Müller Schmied, Sandra Zimmermann, Matthias Mengel, Inga J Sauer, Peter Burek, Jinfeng Chang, Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Manoli Grillakis, Luca Guillaumot, Naota Hanasaki, Aristeidis Koutroulis, Kedar Otta, Wei Qi, Yusuke Satoh, Tobias Stacke, Tokuta Yokohata, Katja Frieler

Publikováno v: Environmental Research Letters, Vol 19, Iss 7, p 074005 (2024)

Global hydrological models (GHMs) are widely used to assess the impact of climate change on streamflow, floods, and hydrological droughts. For the ‘model evaluation and impact attribution’ part of the current round of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Mo

Externí odkaz: https://doaj.org/article/de5fbdaf965143aab5f5aaa9c6876570

State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes

Autor: Jacob Schewe, Simon N. Gosling, Christopher Reyer, Fang Zhao, Philippe Ciais, Joshua Elliott, Louis Francois, Veronika Huber, Heike K. Lotze, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Michelle T. H. van Vliet, Robert Vautard, Yoshihide Wada, Lutz Breuer, Matthias Büchner, David A. Carozza, Jinfeng Chang, Marta Coll, Delphine Deryng, Allard de Wit, Tyler D. Eddy, Christian Folberth, Katja Frieler, Andrew D. Friend, Dieter Gerten, Lukas Gudmundsson, Naota Hanasaki, Akihiko Ito, Nikolay Khabarov, Hyungjun Kim, Peter Lawrence, Catherine Morfopoulos, Christoph Müller, Hannes Müller Schmied, René Orth, Sebastian Ostberg, Yadu Pokhrel, Thomas A. M. Pugh, Gen Sakurai, Yusuke Satoh, Erwin Schmid, Tobias Stacke, Jeroen Steenbeek, Jörg Steinkamp, Qiuhong Tang, Hanqin Tian, Derek P. Tittensor, Jan Volkholz, Xuhui Wang, Lila Warszawski

Publikováno v: Nature Communications, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-14 (2019)

Impact models projections are used in integrated assessments of climate change. Here the authors test systematically across many important systems, how well such impact models capture the impacts of extreme climate conditions.

Externí odkaz: https://doaj.org/article/bdb660eae2bf431380e76d34df8b14d8

Validity of estimating flood and drought characteristics under equilibrium climates from transient simulations

Autor: Julien Boulange, Naota Hanasaki, Yusuke Satoh, Tokuta Yokohata, Hideo Shiogama, Peter Burek, Wim Thiery, Dieter Gerten, Hannes Müller Schmied, Yoshihide Wada, Simon N Gosling, Yadu Pokhrel, Niko Wanders

Publikováno v: Environmental Research Letters, Vol 16, Iss 10, p 104028 (2021)

Future flood and drought risks have been predicted to transition from moderate to high levels at global warmings of 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C above pre-industrial levels, respectively. However, these results were obtained by approximating the equilibrium c

Externí odkaz: https://doaj.org/article/f2a6abbd4b114a3abc6bdfc2a47118c1

Global terrestrial water storage and drought severity under climate change

Autor: Camelia Eliza Telteu, Jacob Schewe, Anne Gädeke, Tobias Stacke, Aristeidis Koutroulis, Hyungjun Kim, Lukas Gudmundsson, Dieter Gerten, Julien Boulange, Wim Thiery, Hannes Müller Schmied, Lamprini Papadimitriou, Naota Hanasaki, Yoshihide Wada, Farshid Felfelani, Fang Zhao, Peter Burek, Junguo Liu, Manolis Grillakis, Simon N. Gosling, Yusuke Satoh, Yadu Pokhrel, Ted Veldkamp

Publikováno v: Pokhrel, Y.; Felfelani, F.; Satoh, Y.; Boulange, J.; Burek, P.; Gädeke, A.; Gerten, D.; Gosling, S.N.; Grillakis, M.; Gudmundsson, L.; Hanasaki, N.; Kim, H.; Koutroulis, A.; Liu, J.; Papadimitriou, L.; Schewe, J.; Müller Schmied, H.; Stacke, T.; Telteu, C.-E.; Thiery, W.; Veldkamp, T.; Zhao, F.; Wada, Y.: Global terrestrial water storage and drought severity under climate change. In: Nature Climate Change. Vol. 11 (2021) 3, 226-233. (DOI: /10.1038/s41558-020-00972-w)
Nature Climate Change, 11(3), 226-233. Nature Publishing Group
Pokhrel, Y, Felfelani, F, Satoh, Y, Boulange, J, Burek, P, Gädeke, A, Gerten, D, Gosling, S N, Grillakis, M, Gudmundsson, L, Hanasaki, N, Kim, H, Koutroulis, A, Liu, J, Papadimitriou, L, Schewe, J, Müller Schmied, H, Stacke, T, Telteu, C E, Thiery, W, Veldkamp, T, Zhao, F & Wada, Y 2021, ' Global terrestrial water storage and drought severity under climate change ', Nature Climate Change, vol. 11, no. 3, pp. 226-233 . https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00972-w
Nature Climate Change, 11 (3)

Terrestrial water storage (TWS) modulates the hydrological cycle and is a key determinant of water availability and an indicator of drought. While historical TWS variations have been increasingly studied, future changes in TWS and the linkages to dro

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::69a9acf8b37f0b030099f67e8e27f0c8
https://research.vu.nl/en/publications/a5ff24a0-3b22-4757-81d8-2eeea008141e

Improving impact model intercomparison by developing and applying quality control and quality assessment tools – the example of the ISIMIP global water sector

Autor: Hannes Müller Schmied, Matthias Büchner, Jochen Klar, Iliusi Vega del Valle, Aristeidis Koutroulis, Simon N. Gosling, Laura Dobor, Emmanuel Nyenah, Christopher Reyer

Process-based impact models are frequently used for a range of applications and are valuable for simulating fundamental processes in a changing world. Model Intercomparison Projects like the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::4167b234afadbef6b337e7eb0b3f1741
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5368