Zobrazeno 1 - 9
of 9
pro vyhledávání: '"Sigrid Møyner Hohle"'
Publikováno v:
Judgment and Decision Making, Vol 13, Pp 309-321 (2018)
Predictions of magnitudes (costs, durations, environmental events) are often given as uncertainty intervals (ranges). When are such forecasts judged to be correct? We report results of four experiments showing that forecasted ranges of expected natur
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/8161969c62c040a6b92f4d11eb9aee8e
Publikováno v:
Judgment and Decision Making, Vol 10, Pp 416-428 (2015)
People often make predictions about the future based on trends they have observed in the past. Revised probabilistic forecasts can be perceived by the public as indicative of such a trend. In five studies, we describe experts who make probabilistic f
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/891bf5cd70d84e99961206e146646580
Publikováno v:
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. 32:564-578
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::0104f3336b2ad03e61047058f67c4636
https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.2132
https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.2132
Publikováno v:
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. 31:138-150
Probability estimates can be given as ranges or uncertainty intervals, where often only one of the interval bounds (lower or upper) is specified. For instance, a climate forecast can describe La Nina as having “more than 70% chance” or “less th
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::3a19aef0f4e2150c7bab4d1d4c19d0bd
https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.2052
https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.2052
Autor:
Sigrid Møyner Hohle, Jonas R. Kunst
Publikováno v:
Appetite. 105:758-774
Many people enjoy eating meat but dislike causing pain to animals. Dissociating meat from its animal origins may be a powerful way to avoid cognitive dissonance resulting from this 'meat paradox'. Here, we provide the first comprehensive test of this
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::56d1e9120ab22d59a4c6de54a79678dd
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.appet.2016.07.009
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.appet.2016.07.009
Statistical information such as death risk estimates is frequently used for illustrating the magnitude of a problem. Such mortality statistics are however easier to evaluate if presented next to an earlier estimate, as the two data points together wi
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::7ee4d0396b7bb37b9fed7ea71cd15303
http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-153704
http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-153704
Past research has revealed a trend effect when people are faced with a revised probabilistic forecast: A forecasted event that has become more (vs. less) certain is taken to signal a trend towards even stronger (weaker) certainty in future revisions
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::1f62a508f7b13b940113b3a34c57a633
http://hdl.handle.net/10852/71088
http://hdl.handle.net/10852/71088
Climate projections and other predictions are often described as outcomes that can happen, indicating possibilities that are imaginable, but uncertain. Whereas the meanings of other uncertainty terms have been extensively studied, the uses of modal v
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::cab3040daeb3e41d0b71037326c5f138
http://hdl.handle.net/10852/71401
http://hdl.handle.net/10852/71401
Although daily meat consumption is a widespread habit, many individuals at the same time put a high value on the welfare of animals. While different psychological mechanisms have been identified to resolve this cognitive tension, such as dissociating
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::01912756f57fa989f7198a73fbc0d3f5