Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 1 333
pro vyhledávání: '"Seasonal prediction"'
Publikováno v:
Atmospheric Science Letters, Vol 25, Iss 8, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract This study explores Arctic warming's effect on Eurasia's temperature variability, notably the warm Arctic–cold Eurasia (WACE) pattern, and assesses seasonal prediction models' accuracy in capturing this phenomenon and its monthly variation
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/d4f7384d09444b73bb25304e8b2f08a8
Autor:
Chang‐Hyun Park, Seok‐Woo Son
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 13, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has a significant impact on the surface climate of East Asia by modulating the atmospheric circulation over the Kuroshio Extension. Here, we show that the ENSO–East Asia teleconnections are strong
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/4cf5a8a2563641fba591f954733d588b
Publikováno v:
Geoscience Letters, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2023)
Abstract Seasonal prediction of the Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) is important, considering its impact on the climate of surrounding regions. Here we compare the prediction of the IOD in two generations of prediction system developed by the China Meteoro
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/cb0293901ef242029f0e0b67211b20bd
Autor:
Huiping Wang, Yiyang Li
Publikováno v:
Heliyon, Vol 10, Iss 9, Pp e29960- (2024)
To accurately predict sequence data with seasonal characteristics, we combine data restart technology and fractional order accumulation into a novel seasonal grey model (FSGM (1,1, α)). The particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is used to solv
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/123059141d5943c4ae489c2989c692a9
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 8, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract Atlantic hurricane season length is important for emergency management preparation, motivating the need to understand its variability and change. We investigated the influence of ocean variability on Atlantic hurricane season length in obser
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/742b0431497b4dd697ac914abc460419
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 51, Iss 6, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)
Abstract This study unravels the characteristics, mechanisms, and predictability of four consecutive record‐breaking heatwaves hitting North China in June and July 2023. The first three heatwaves primarily influenced the northern part of North Chin
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/1c96e71f54f1478b96878dc77aef93d4
Publikováno v:
Forecasting, Vol 5, Iss 4, Pp 600-615 (2023)
Earth system predictions, from sub-seasonal to seasonal timescales, remain a challenging task, and the representation of predictability sources on seasonal timescales is a complex work. Nonetheless, advances in technology and science have been making
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/e68101bb168a4634aca72aae844dbd56
Publikováno v:
Atmosphere, Vol 15, Iss 9, p 1024 (2024)
Wind resources play a pivotal role in building sustainable energy systems, crucial for mitigating and adapting to climate change. With the increasing frequency of extreme events under global warming, effective prediction of extreme wind resource pote
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/633c3db3b97147de9da0d5a4b5e66a83
Autor:
Yong‐Fei Zhang, Mitchell Bushuk, Michael Winton, Bill Hurlin, William Gregory, Jack Landy, Liwei Jia
Publikováno v:
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 50, Iss 24, Pp n/a-n/a (2023)
Abstract Because of a spring predictability barrier, the seasonal forecast skill of Arctic summer sea ice is limited by the availability of melt‐season sea ice thickness (SIT) observations. The first year‐round SIT observations, retrieved from Cr
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/d339bbe64182499fbd312ebd78929ab7
Publikováno v:
Frontiers in Earth Science, Vol 11 (2023)
A severe torrential rain attacked Henan province from July 19 to 21, 2021, resulting in extensive social and economic damages. The models’ sub-seasonal prediction skill for this extreme event remains to be evaluated. Based on the real-time data of
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/a89aa54bbab341229e5fc887d21b7a45