Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 138
pro vyhledávání: '"Sam, Abbott"'
Autor:
Katharine Sherratt, Ajitesh Srivastava, Kylie Ainslie, David E. Singh, Aymar Cublier, Maria Cristina Marinescu, Jesus Carretero, Alberto Cascajo Garcia, Nicolas Franco, Lander Willem, Steven Abrams, Christel Faes, Philippe Beutels, Niel Hens, Sebastian Müller, Billy Charlton, Ricardo Ewert, Sydney Paltra, Christian Rakow, Jakob Rehmann, Tim Conrad, Christof Schütte, Kai Nagel, Sam Abbott, Rok Grah, Rene Niehus, Bastian Prasse, Frank Sandmann, Sebastian Funk
Publikováno v:
Epidemics, Vol 47, Iss , Pp 100765- (2024)
Background: Collaborative comparisons and combinations of epidemic models are used as policy-relevant evidence during epidemic outbreaks. In the process of collecting multiple model projections, such collaborations may gain or lose relevant informati
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/ea2c6a12ffb7462bb32e28d130682b1f
Publikováno v:
PLoS Computational Biology, Vol 20, Iss 4, p e1012021 (2024)
The time-varying effective reproduction number Rt is a widely used indicator of transmission dynamics during infectious disease outbreaks. Timely estimates of Rt can be obtained from reported cases counted by their date of symptom onset, which is gen
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/f06ae4fdc5dd4e61b458e9b328f8d480
Publikováno v:
Wellcome Open Research, Vol 8 (2024)
Background In the past, two studies found ensembles of human judgement forecasts of COVID-19 to show predictive performance comparable to ensembles of computational models, at least when predicting case incidences. We present a follow-up to a study c
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/acd2a9a3fbf94b7988cf0945f450999e
Autor:
Richard Grieve, Youqi Yang, Sam Abbott, Giridhara R Babu, Malay Bhattacharyya, Natalie Dean, Stephen Evans, Nicholas Jewell, Sinéad M Langan, Woojoo Lee, Geert Molenberghs, Liam Smeeth, Elizabeth Williamson, Bhramar Mukherjee
Publikováno v:
PLOS Global Public Health, Vol 4, Iss 6, p e0003402 (2024)
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0002601.].
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/0ed46bcae719435482a04ee2180f2f65
Autor:
Carl A B Pearson, Anne Cori, Christopher Overton, Sabine van Elsland, Christopher I Jarvis, Edward M Hill, Dale Weston, Edward Knock, Kiesha Prem, Sam Abbott, Joel Hellewell, Sebastian Funk, Elizabeth Fearon, Julián Villabona Arenas, W John Edmunds, Michelle Kendall, Li Pi, Nicholas Davies, Neil Ferguson, Timothy Russell, Rosalind M Eggo, Yang Liu, Adam Kucharski, Marc Baguelin, Katharine Sherratt, Emily Nightingale, Anna C Carnegie
Publikováno v:
Wellcome Open Research, Vol 9 (2024)
Background The COVID-19 pandemic both relied and placed significant burdens on the experts involved from research and public health sectors. The sustained high pressure of a pandemic on responders, such as healthcare workers, can lead to lasting psyc
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/a344f96cc2b942b59dccc92d2f68f73e
Autor:
Timothy W Russell, Hermaleigh Townsley, Sam Abbott, Joel Hellewell, Edward J Carr, Lloyd A C Chapman, Rachael Pung, Billy J Quilty, David Hodgson, Ashley S Fowler, Lorin Adams, Chris Bailey, Harriet V Mears, Ruth Harvey, Bobbi Clayton, Nicola O'Reilly, Yenting Ngai, Jerome Nicod, Steve Gamblin, Bryan Williams, Sonia Gandhi, Charles Swanton, Rupert Beale, David L V Bauer, Emma C Wall, Adam J Kucharski
Publikováno v:
PLoS Biology, Vol 22, Iss 1, p e3002463 (2024)
The emergence of successive Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants of concern (VOCs) during 2020 to 2022, each exhibiting increased epidemic growth relative to earlier circulating variants, has created a need to underst
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/cfe2aa3e3c23488697cdd2e92920d429
Autor:
Elisabeth K Brockhaus, Daniel Wolffram, Tanja Stadler, Michael Osthege, Tanmay Mitra, Jonas M Littek, Ekaterina Krymova, Anna J Klesen, Jana S Huisman, Stefan Heyder, Laura M Helleckes, Matthias An der Heiden, Sebastian Funk, Sam Abbott, Johannes Bracher
Publikováno v:
PLoS Computational Biology, Vol 19, Iss 11, p e1011653 (2023)
The effective reproductive number Rt has taken a central role in the scientific, political, and public discussion during the COVID-19 pandemic, with numerous real-time estimates of this quantity routinely published. Disagreement between estimates can
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/bcf0f16cbc4e48b6abc143d6e639646d
Autor:
Christopher E Overton, Sam Abbott, Rachel Christie, Fergus Cumming, Julie Day, Owen Jones, Rob Paton, Charlie Turner, Thomas Ward
Publikováno v:
PLoS Computational Biology, Vol 19, Iss 9, p e1011463 (2023)
In May 2022, a cluster of mpox cases were detected in the UK that could not be traced to recent travel history from an endemic region. Over the coming months, the outbreak grew, with over 3000 total cases reported in the UK, and similar outbreaks occ
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/bb8558ce776b4a1a9ead6b60a74b9124
Publikováno v:
PLoS Computational Biology, Vol 19, Iss 9, p e1011453 (2023)
Mathematical and statistical models can be used to make predictions of how epidemics may progress in the near future and form a central part of outbreak mitigation and control. Renewal equation based models allow inference of epidemiological paramete
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/aac43a05aad749af98302813bc58152b
Publikováno v:
PLoS Computational Biology, Vol 19, Iss 8, p e1011393 (2023)
Forecast evaluation is essential for the development of predictive epidemic models and can inform their use for public health decision-making. Common scores to evaluate epidemiological forecasts are the Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) and
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/7ea04384a7214855b5bb4e6b4036f84e