Future changes in extreme precipitation in the Rhine basin based on global and regional climate model simulations

Autor: S. C. van Pelt, J. J. Beersma, T. A. Buishand, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk, P. Kabat

Publikováno v: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol 16, Iss 12, Pp 4517-4530 (2012)

Probability estimates of the future change of extreme precipitation events are usually based on a limited number of available global climate model (GCM) or regional climate model (RCM) simulations. Since floods are related to heavy precipitation even

Externí odkaz: https://doaj.org/article/47ce8f104ecc433ea02656caada1a0eb

Groundwater vulnerability on small islands

Autor: Isabelle Larocque, J. Klassen, Diana M. Allen, S. C. Van Pelt, Amy I. Hsieh, S. Holding, S. Foster

Publikováno v: Nature Climate Change. 6:1100-1103

Aquifer characteristics and water use data for 43 widely distributed small island states indicate that 44% are in a state of water stress. While recharge is projected to increase on 12 islands it is projected to decrease by up to 58% on the other 31.

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::127150f594471e541d70a351c446bc58
https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3128

Including climate change projections in probabilistic flood risk assessment

Autor: S. C. van Pelt, Philip J. Ward, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, J. Beersma, A.H. te Linde, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk, O. De Keizer

Publikováno v: Journal of Flood Risk Management. 7:141-151

This paper demonstrates a framework for producing probabilistic flood risk estimates, focusing on two sections of the Rhine River. We used an ensemble of six (bias-corrected) regional climate model (RCM) future simulations to create a 3000-year time-

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::1e42ef036981450c2ae5fa5e580ba82b
https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12029

Uncertainty in the future change of extreme precipitation over the Rhine basin: the role of internal climate variability

Autor: T. A. Buishand, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk, S. C. van Pelt, J. Beersma, Jaap Schellekens

Publikováno v: van Pelt, S, Beersma, J J, Buishand, T A, van den Hurk, B J J M & Schellekens, J 2015, ' Uncertainty in the future change of extreme precipitation over the Rhine basin: the role of internal climate variability ', Climate Dynamics, vol. 44, no. 7, pp. 1789-1800 . https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2312-4
Climate Dynamics, 44(7), 1789-1800. Springer Berlin / Heidelberg
Climate Dynamics 44 (2015) 7
Climate Dynamics, 44(7), 1789-1800

Future changes in extreme multi-day precipitation will influence the probability of floods in the river Rhine basin. In this paper the spread of the changes projected by climate models at the end of this century (2081–2100) is studied for a 17-memb

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::ada7ac66a955c103210bc9ddcc4e8018
https://research.vu.nl/en/publications/b7bac760-bcd1-42f4-b21d-a8fa99209692