Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 32
pro vyhledávání: '"Ryan A. Sobash"'
Publikováno v:
Weather and Forecasting. 38:401-423
Herein, 14 severe quasi-linear convective systems (QLCS) covering a wide range of geographical locations and environmental conditions are simulated for both 1- and 3-km horizontal grid resolutions, to further clarify their comparative capabilities in
Autor:
Anders A. Jensen, James O. Pinto, Sean C. C. Bailey, Ryan A. Sobash, Glen Romine, Gijs de Boer, Adam L. Houston, Suzanne W. Smith, Dale A. Lawrence, Cory Dixon, Julie K. Lundquist, Jamey D. Jacob, Jack Elston, Sean Waugh, David Brus, Matthias Steiner
Publikováno v:
Monthly Weather Review. 150:2737-2763
Uncrewed aircraft system (UAS) observations from the Lower Atmospheric Profiling Studies at Elevation–A Remotely-Piloted Aircraft Team Experiment (LAPSE-RATE) field campaign were assimilated into a high-resolution configuration of the Weather Resea
Autor:
Corey K. Potvin, Burkely T. Gallo, Anthony E. Reinhart, Brett Roberts, Patrick S. Skinner, Ryan A. Sobash, Katie A. Wilson, Kelsey C. Britt, Chris Broyles, Montgomery L. Flora, William J. S. Miller, Clarice N. Satrio
Publikováno v:
Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology. 39:999-1013
Thunderstorm mode strongly impacts the likelihood and predictability of tornadoes and other hazards, and thus is of great interest to severe weather forecasters and researchers. It is often impossible for a forecaster to manually classify all the sto
Autor:
Ryan A. Sobash, David John Gagne, Charlie L. Becker, David Ahijevych, Gabrielle N. Gantos, Craig S. Schwartz
Publikováno v:
Monthly Weather Review.
While convective storm mode is explicitly depicted in convection-allowing model (CAM) output, subjectively diagnosing mode in large volumes of CAM forecasts can be burdensome. In this work, four machine learning (ML) models were trained to probabilis
Publikováno v:
Monthly Weather Review. 149:3265-3287
A 50-member convection-allowing ensemble was used to examine environmental factors influencing afternoon convection initiation (CI) and subsequent severe weather on 5 April 2017 during intensive observing period (IOP) 3b of the Verification of the Or
Autor:
Suzanne Weaver Smith, Gijs de Boer, Phillip B. Chilson, Julie K. Lundquist, Glen S. Romine, Jamey Jacob, Ryan A. Sobash, Sean C. C. Bailey, Dale Lawrence, Jack Elston, Matthias Steiner, James O. Pinto, Tyler M. Bell, Sean Waugh, Adam L. Houston, Anders A. Jensen, Cory Dixon
Publikováno v:
Monthly Weather Review. 149:1459-1480
Uncrewed aircraft system (UAS) observations collected during the 2018 Lower Atmospheric Process Studies at Elevation—a Remotely Piloted Aircraft Team Experiment (LAPSE-RATE) field campaign were assimilated into a high-resolution configuration of th
Publikováno v:
Weather and Forecasting. 35:1981-2000
A feed-forward neural network (NN) was trained to produce gridded probabilistic convective hazard predictions over the contiguous United States. Input fields to the NN included 174 predictors, derived from 38 variables output by 497 convection-allowi
Publikováno v:
Monthly Weather Review. 148:2645-2669
Five sets of 48-h, 10-member, convection-allowing ensemble (CAE) forecasts with 3-km horizontal grid spacing were systematically evaluated over the conterminous United States with a focus on precipitation across 31 cases. The various CAEs solely diff
Autor:
Craig S. Schwartz, Ryan A. Sobash
Publikováno v:
Monthly Weather Review. 147:4411-4435
Hourly accumulated precipitation forecasts from deterministic convection-allowing numerical weather prediction models with 3- and 1-km horizontal grid spacing were evaluated over 497 forecasts between 2010 and 2017 over the central and eastern conter
Publikováno v:
Weather and Forecasting. 34:1633-1656
A 50-member convection-allowing ensemble is used to examine effects of daytime PBL evolution and ambient flow interacting with modest terrain features on convection initiation (CI) in the lee of the Rocky Mountains. The examined case (4 June 2015) ha