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An ensemble of state-of-the-art ash dispersion models: towards probabilistic forecasts to increase the resilience of air traffic against volcanic eruptions

Autor: Luca Bugliaro, Laaziz El Amraoui, Delia Arnold Arias, Ana Carvalho, Lennart Robertson, Christian Maurer, Dennis Piontek, Fritz Zobl, Matthieu Plu, Marcus Hirtl, Raimund Zopp, Barbara Scherllin-Pirscher, Guillaume Bigeard, Carl-Herbert Rokitansky, Marie D. Mulder, Rocío Baró, Kurt Eschbacher

Publikováno v: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Copernicus Publ. / European Geosciences Union, 2021, 21 (10), pp.2973-2992. ⟨10.5194/nhess-21-2973-2021⟩
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Vol 21, Pp 2973-2992 (2021)
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2021, 21 (10), pp.2973-2992. ⟨10.5194/nhess-21-2973-2021⟩

High-quality volcanic ash forecasts are crucial to minimize the economic impact of volcanic hazards on air traffic. Decision-making is usually based on numerical dispersion modelling with only one model realization. Given the inherent uncertainty of

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::72371a90a7f7d0889a43c8cf924acdeb
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03484552

Multi-model Assessment of Air Pollution-Related Premature Mortality in Europe and U.S.:Domestic Versus Foreign Contributions

Autor: Rebecca Rose, Rocío Baró, Marta G. Vivanco, Ciao-Kai Liang, Marje Prank, Ulas Im, Augustin Colette, J. Jason West, Andrea Fraser, Pedro Jiménez-Guerrero, Roberto Bianconi, Paolo Tuccella, Christian Hogrefe, Aidan Farrow, Uarporn Nopmongcol, Camilla Geels, Johannes Flemming, Guido Pirovano, Jørgen Brandt, Stefano Galmarini, Ioannis Kioutsioukis, Roberto Bellasio, Efisio Solazzo, Greg Yarwood, Luca Pozzoli, Ranjeet S. Sokhi, Kaj M. Hansen, Ummugulsum Alyuz, Alessandra Balzarini, Mikael Skou Andersen, Alper Unal, Nutthida Kitwiroon, Johannes Bieser, Gabriele Curci, Jesper H. Christensen

Publikováno v: Im, U, Brandt, J, Geels, C, Hansen, K M, Christensen, J H, Andersen, M S, Solazzo, E, Kioutsioukis, I, Alyuz, U, Balzarini, A, Baro, R, Bellasio, R, Bianconi, R, Bieser, J, Colette, A, Curci, G, Farrow, A, Flemming, J, Fraser, A, Jimenez-Guerrero, P, Kitwiroon, N, Liang, C K, Nopmongcol, U, Pirovano, G, Pozzoli, L, Prank, M, Rose, R, Sokhi, R, Tuccella, P, Unal, A, Vivanco, M G, West, J, Yarwood, G, Hogrefe, C & Galmarini, S 2020, Multi-model Assessment of Air Pollution-Related Premature Mortality in Europe and U.S. Domestic Versus Foreign Contributions . in C Mensink, W Gong & A Hakami (eds), Air Pollution Modeling and its Application XXVI : ITM 2018 . Springer, Cham, Springer Proceedings in Complexity, pp. 461-467, 36th International Technical Meeting on Air Pollution Modeling and its Application, ITM 2018, Ottawa, Canada, 14/05/2018 . https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-22055-6_73
Springer Proceedings in Complexity ISBN: 9783030220549

The impact of air pollution on premature mortality in Europe and the United States (U.S.) in 2010 is modelled by a multi-model ensemble of regional models in the framework of the third phase of the Air Quality Model Evaluation International Initiativ

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::c8964b85f7d2b5feac942023ad336c44
https://pure.au.dk/portal/da/publications/multimodel-assessment-of-air-pollutionrelated-premature-mortality-in-europe-and-us(0a8fbe8c-f5a2-4243-bb44-28b3a9e366ce).html

An assessment of aerosol optical properties from remote-sensing observations and regional chemistry–climate coupled models over Europe

Autor: Pedro Jiménez-Guerrero, Ralf Wolke, Dominik Brunner, Juan Pedro Montávez, Johannes Werhahn, W. Schröder, Laura Palacios-Peña, Juan Luis Pérez, Alessandra Balzarini, Renate Forkel, Rahela Žabkar, Marcus Hirtl, Guido Pirovano, Alexander Baklanov, Jose María López-Romero, Roberto San José, Rocío Baró, Luka Honzak

Publikováno v: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol 18, Pp 5021-5043 (2018)

Atmospheric aerosols modify the radiative budget of the Earth due to their optical, microphysical and chemical properties, and are considered one of the most uncertain climate forcing agents. In order to characterise the uncertainties associated with

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::cd0131c1e26a75e86ad3fbd9a6463088
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-5021-2018

Evaluation and error apportionment of an ensemble of atmospheric chemistry transport modeling systems: multivariable temporal and spatial breakdown

Autor: Alessandra Balzarini, Ulas Im, Rocío Baró, Andrea Fraser, Stefano Galmarini, Marje Prank, Nutthida Kitwiroon, Roberto Bellasio, Efisio Solazzo, Greg Yarwood, Astrid Manders, Xavier Vazhappilly Francis, Ranjeet S. Sokhi, Augistin Colette, Alper Unal, Pedro Jiménez-Guerrero, Johannes Bieser, Paolo Tuccella, Gabriele Curci, Christian Hogrefe, Marta G. Vivanco, Uarporn Nopmongcol, Luca Pozzoli, Guido Pirovano, Roberto Bianconi, Jesper H. Christensen, Jørgen Brandt, Ummugulsum Alyuz

Publikováno v: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol 17, Iss 4, Pp 3001-3054 (2017)
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 4, 17, 3001-3054
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, European Geosciences Union, 2017, 17, pp.3001-3054. ⟨10.5194/acp-17-3001-2017⟩
Solazzo, E.; Bianconi, R.; Hogrefe, C.; Curci, G.; Alyuz, U.; Balzarini, A.; Baro, R.; Bellasio, R.; Bieser, J.; Brandt, J.; Christensen, J.H.; Colette, A.; Francis, X.; Fraser, A.; Garcia Vivanco, M.; Jimenez-Guerrero, P.; Im, U.; Manders, A.; Nopmongcol, U.; Kitwiroon, N.; Pirovano, G.; Pozzoli, L.; Prank, M.; Sokhi, R.S.; Tuccella, P.; Unal, A.; Yarwood, G.; Galmarini, S.: Evaluation and Error Apportionment of an Ensemble of Atmospheric Chemistry Transport Modelling Systems: Multi-variable Temporal and Spatial Breakdown. In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics : Discussions. (2016) 682. (DOI: 10.5194/acp-2016-682)
Solazzo, E, Bianconi, R, Hogrefe, C, Curci, G, Alyuz, U, Balzarini, A, Baró, R, Bellasio, R, bieser, J, Brandt, J, Christensen, J H, Colette, A C, Francis, X V, Vivanco, G, Jiménez-Guerrero, P, Im, U, Manders-Groot, A, Nopmongcol, U, Kitwiroon, N, Pirovano, G, Pozzoli, L, Prank, M, Sokhi, R S, Tuccella, P, Unal, A, Yarwood, G & Galmarini, S 2017, ' Evaluation and error apportionment of an ensemble of atmospheric chemistry transport modeling systems: multivariable temporal and spatial breakdown ', Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, vol. 17, pp. 3001-3054 . https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-3001-2017
Solazzo, E.; Bianconi, R.; Hogrefe, C.; Curci, G.; Alyuz, U.; Balzarini, A.; Baro, R.; Bellasio, R.; Bieser, J.; Brandt, J.; Christensen, J.H.; Colette, A.; Francis, X.; Fraser, A.; Garcia Vivanco, M.; Jimenez-Guerrero, P.; Im, U.; Manders, A.; Nopmongcol, U.; Kitwiroon, N.; Pirovano, G.; Pozzoli, L.; Prank, M.; Sokhi, R.S.; Tuccella, P.; Unal, A.; Yarwood, G.; Galmarini, S.: Evaluation and error apportionment of an ensemble of atmospheric chemistry transport modeling systems: multivariable temporal and spatial breakdown. In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. Vol. 17 (2017) 4, 3001-3054. (DOI: 10.5194/acp-17-3001-2017)

Through the comparison of several regional-scale chemistry transport modeling systems that simulate meteorology and air quality over the European and North American continents, this study aims at (i) apportioning error to the responsible processes us

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::104a961f888e2230d6260e0e95e5a3d7
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/17/3001/2017/acp-17-3001-2017.pdf