Tropical cyclone sensitivities to CO2 doubling: roles of atmospheric resolution, synoptic variability and background climate changes

Autor: Shian-Jiann Lin, Jan–Huey –H Chen, Keith W. Dixon, Seth Underwood, Thomas R. Knutson, Venkatramani Balaji, Fanrong Zeng, Karin van der Wiel, Liwei Jia, Ching Ho Justin Ng, Gabriel A. Vecchi, J. W. Baldwin, Andrew T. Wittenberg, Whit G. Anderson, Xiaosong Yang, William Cooke, Nathaniel C. Johnson, Thomas L. Delworth, Kieran T. Bhatia, James A Smith, Wei Zhang, Jie He, Hiroyuki Murakami, Maofeng Liu, Gabriele Villarini, Rich Gudgel, Anthony Rosati, Sarah B. Kapnick, Lucas M. Harris

Publikováno v: Climate Dynamics. 53:5999-6033

Responses of tropical cyclones (TCs) to CO2 doubling are explored using coupled global climate models (GCMs) with increasingly refined atmospheric/land horizontal grids (~ 200 km, ~ 50 km and ~ 25 km). The three models exhibit similar changes in back

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::2fa0d15bcc1abdcf6abe5602af50ef22
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04913-y

Regional Arctic sea–ice prediction: potential versus operational seasonal forecast skill

Autor: Michael Winton, Anthony Rosati, Xiaosong Yang, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Mitchell Bushuk, Rich Gudgel, Rym Msadek

Publikováno v: Climate Dynamics. 52:2721-2743

Seasonal predictions of Arctic sea ice on regional spatial scales are a pressing need for a broad group of stakeholders, however, most assessments of predictability and forecast skill to date have focused on pan-Arctic sea–ice extent (SIE). In this

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::5fb978151540bdf4d4e7ac290196969e
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4288-y

Corrigendum

Autor: Bill Stern, Whit G. Anderson, Rong Zhang, Shaoqing Zhang, Fanrong Zeng, You-Soon Chang, Gabriele Villarini, Rym Msadek, Andrew T. Wittenberg, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Anthony Rosati, Keith W. Dixon, Thomas L. Delworth, Xiaosong Yang, Rich Gudgel

Publikováno v: Journal of Climate. 30:7579-7582

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::4dcfbb230afe29fcb7da37e676046fe3
https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0335.1

Summer Enhancement of Arctic Sea Ice Volume Anomalies in the September-Ice Zone

Autor: Michael Winton, Anthony Rosati, Xiaosong Yang, Rym Msadek, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Mitchell Bushuk, Rich Gudgel

Publikováno v: Journal of Climate. 30:2341-2362

Because of its persistence on seasonal time scales, Arctic sea ice thickness (SIT) is a potential source of predictability for summer sea ice extent (SIE). New satellite observations of SIT represent an opportunity to harness this potential predictab

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::7123a1bbb953ace730230c9611e9f5f4
https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-16-0470.1

The Value of Sustained Ocean Observations for Sea Ice Predictions in the Barents Sea

Autor: Mitchell Bushuk, Michael Winton, Matthew Harrison, Anthony Rosati, Rym Msadek, Xiaosong Yang, Rich Gudgel

Publikováno v: Journal of Climate
Journal of Climate, American Meteorological Society, 2019, 32 (20), pp.7017-7035. ⟨10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0179.1⟩
Journal of Climate, 2019, 32 (20), pp.7017-7035. ⟨10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0179.1⟩

Dynamical prediction systems have shown potential to meet the emerging need for seasonal forecasts of regional Arctic sea ice. Observationally constrained initial conditions are a key source of skill for these predictions, but the direct influence of

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::56afd20d55e68ea57f08b10d9743221c
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02391654/document